Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.8%Murray State

70.2%UIC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUIC -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL157.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUIC -236

UIC

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 76

Projected Total157.7

Projected ScoreUIC 82

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricUIC

53.6MMH Power Index56.7

115.0Offensive Efficiency110.5

111.0Defensive Efficiency103.3

4.0Net Efficiency7.2

3.5Strength of Schedule0.1

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency9.2

72.3Tempo68.3

54.0%Effective FG%50.9%

16.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %36.8%

39.1%Free Throw Rate37.2%

2.9Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UIC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUIC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.7–53.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–111.0), net efficiency (7.2–4.0), recent form (9.2–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–110.5), strength of schedule (3.5–0.1), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.9).

Final

Murray State

93—97

UIC

UIC by 4 • 88.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATUIC

32-80FG35-63

40.0%FG%56.0%

9-303PT9-22

30.0%3PT%41.0%

20-25FT18-25

80.0%FT%72.0%

41Rebounds38

16Offensive Rebounds6

23Assists21

12Turnovers20

10Steals6

4Blocks3

22Fouls22

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alden Applewhite	F	29	7-15	3-8	5-5	5	1	2	1	22
Kylen Milton	Guard	43	6-12	2-5	1-1	4	1	4	1	15
Terence Harcum	Guard	45	4-12	2-8	4-5	5	6	0	0	14
Nick Ellington	F	35	4-11	0-0	5-8	11	1	0	2	13
AJ Ferguson	Guard	39	4-7	0-2	3-4	7	4	2	0	11
JaCobi Wood	Guard	31	2-7	1-3	2-2	2	7	0	0	7
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	15	3-11	0-1	0-0	3	1	2	0	6
Justin Morgan	Guard	13	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	5

UIC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Jackson	G	44	12-20	3-8	3-4	1	5	1	1	30
Tyem Freeman	Guard	40	6-8	2-4	7-12	5	2	1	0	21
Filip Skobalj	Not Available	41	6-11	3-7	0-0	5	2	0	0	15
Saša Ciani	F	30	5-8	0-1	1-1	10	5	1	0	11
Jordan Mason	G	43	3-7	1-2	0-0	5	2	1	1	7
Ahmad Henderson II	G	23	1-5	0-0	5-6	5	2	1	0	7
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	15	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	2	0	1	4
Ethan Pickett	G	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

88.4Possessions88.4

105.2Offensive Efficiency109.7

109.7Defensive Efficiency105.2

-4.5Net Efficiency4.5

45.6%Effective FG%62.7%

50.6%True Shooting %64.8%

13.7%Turnover Rate22.5%

31.3%Free Throw Rate39.7%

37.5%3-Point Rate34.9%

1.92Assist / Turnover1.05

Game Summary

UIC won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 88.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.