Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.7%Georgia State

84.3%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -537

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 67

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreTexas State 79

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricTexas State

38.9MMH Power Index49.4

101.3Offensive Efficiency107.7

107.5Defensive Efficiency103.4

-6.2Net Efficiency4.3

-1.7Strength of Schedule-4.7

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

69.5Tempo68.6

45.3%Effective FG%51.3%

15.6%Turnover Rate18.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

37.4%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-4.3Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–38.9), offensive efficiency (107.7–101.3), defensive efficiency (103.4–107.5), net efficiency (4.3–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-4.7), ball security (15.6–18.4), free throw rate (37.4–36.0).

Final

Georgia State

80—94

Texas State

Texas State by 14 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATTexas State

29-64FG37-73

45.0%FG%51.0%

12-293PT12-22

41.0%3PT%55.0%

10-16FT8-13

63.0%FT%62.0%

31Rebounds45

9Offensive Rebounds17

16Assists22

10Turnovers7

4Steals7

8Blocks6

12Fouls18

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cesare Edwards	Center	39	11-17	2-4	5-7	3	1	0	4	29
Toneari Lane	G	38	8-18	6-12	1-1	2	4	2	0	23
Malachi Brown	G	32	4-7	2-3	0-0	2	4	1	0	10
Jelani Hamilton	G	37	2-9	2-8	1-2	5	3	0	1	7
Zarique Nutter	F	23	2-6	0-1	3-5	4	0	1	0	7
Nick McMullen	Forward	22	2-5	0-0	0-1	9	3	0	2	4
Malik Ferguson	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	1	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylan Pope	Forward	26	9-13	2-2	0-0	12	1	2	3	20
Coleton Benson	G	25	6-14	5-12	1-1	2	2	0	0	18
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	33	5-12	2-3	1-2	5	5	3	0	13
Kaden Gumbs	G	30	3-5	3-3	4-5	3	6	1	1	13
Austin Green	F	36	4-11	0-0	2-4	13	5	0	1	10
Mark Drone	G	26	4-11	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	8
Nate Deer	F	15	4-4	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	1	8
Joshua O'Garro	G	9	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

112.8Offensive Efficiency132.6

132.6Defensive Efficiency112.8

-19.7Net Efficiency19.7

54.7%Effective FG%58.9%

55.9%True Shooting %59.4%

13.8%Turnover Rate10.1%

25.0%Free Throw Rate17.8%

45.3%3-Point Rate30.1%

1.60Assist / Turnover3.14

Game Summary

Texas State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.