Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%Southern Miss

66.3%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -197

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 71

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 77

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricSouth Alabama

49.9MMH Power Index51.4

106.1Offensive Efficiency110.3

104.9Defensive Efficiency103.9

1.2Net Efficiency6.4

-0.2Strength of Schedule-3.7

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

70.4Tempo67.4

49.9%Effective FG%53.2%

18.4%Turnover Rate12.8%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

43.9%Free Throw Rate39.8%

0.9Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.9), offensive efficiency (110.3–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.9–104.9), net efficiency (6.4–1.2).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.2–-3.7), recent form (3.8–3.4), offensive rebounding (32.3–24.9).

Final

Southern Miss

62—75

South Alabama

South Alabama by 13 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATSouth Alabama

19-56FG21-57

34.0%FG%37.0%

8-343PT14-39

24.0%3PT%36.0%

16-22FT19-21

73.0%FT%90.0%

41Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists17

14Turnovers10

5Steals10

3Blocks2

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	23	4-11	3-9	2-2	3	0	0	0	13
Denijay Harris	Forward	37	3-8	1-1	4-7	14	1	0	0	11
Andre Curbelo	Guard	27	3-5	0-2	5-6	3	1	3	1	11
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	27	3-3	0-0	4-5	6	0	1	0	10
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	23	2-10	2-10	0-0	1	2	0	1	6
Christian Watson	G	23	2-8	1-5	0-0	6	5	1	0	5
Neftali Alvarez	Guard	22	1-7	0-3	1-2	3	3	0	0	3
Jett Montgomery	G	7	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Christian Reid	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Brewer Carruth	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Fasoyiro	Guard	24	5-9	4-8	3-4	4	0	1	0	17
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	25	4-11	2-6	2-2	7	3	1	0	12
Judah Brown	Forward	21	2-9	2-8	5-5	1	0	0	0	11
JJ Wheat	G	27	2-4	0-0	4-4	4	1	4	0	8
Myles Corey	G	20	2-5	2-4	2-2	0	3	0	0	8
Randy Brady	F	28	3-4	1-1	0-0	4	4	2	0	7
John Broom	G	34	1-6	1-5	2-2	8	1	2	1	5
Jayden Cooper	G	9	1-5	1-5	1-2	1	2	0	0	4
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	10	1-3	1-2	0-0	4	3	0	1	3
Cantia Rahming	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

87.6Offensive Efficiency105.9

105.9Defensive Efficiency87.6

-18.4Net Efficiency18.4

41.1%Effective FG%49.1%

46.7%True Shooting %56.0%

19.9%Turnover Rate14.1%

39.3%Free Throw Rate36.8%

60.7%3-Point Rate68.4%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.