Marshall

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%Marshall

63.2%James Madison

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJames Madison -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEJames Madison -172

James Madison

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarshall 77

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreJames Madison 80

Team Comparison

MarshallMetricJames Madison

52MMH Power Index52.3

114.7Offensive Efficiency110.5

110.3Defensive Efficiency109.4

4.4Net Efficiency1.1

0.9Strength of Schedule1.2

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency7.9

70.7Tempo67.5

55.2%Effective FG%53.3%

16.5%Turnover Rate17.3%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

29.7%Free Throw Rate36.6%

3.1Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marshall HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarshall holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (114.7–110.5), net efficiency (4.4–1.1), shooting efficiency (55.2–53.3), ball security (16.5–17.3).

James Madison COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.3–52.0), defensive efficiency (109.4–110.3), strength of schedule (1.2–0.9).

Final

Marshall

64—67

James Madison

James Madison by 3 • 70.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarshallTEAM STATJames Madison

22-62FG25-61

35.0%FG%41.0%

9-333PT5-20

27.0%3PT%25.0%

11-15FT12-15

73.0%FT%80.0%

42Rebounds34

14Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists11

17Turnovers11

8Steals9

1Blocks—

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Speer	G	30	6-12	5-11	3-4	3	1	2	0	20
Mikal Dawson	Guard	36	5-17	3-12	2-3	6	0	3	0	15
Obinna Anochili-Killen	Forward	31	4-11	0-2	4-5	11	1	1	1	12
Nate Martin	Forward	33	4-5	1-1	2-3	12	1	1	0	11
Dezayne Mingo	G	21	1-7	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Jakob Gibbs	Forward	14	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Cade Gibbs	Forward	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Ryan Nutter	Guard	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Wyatt Fricks	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kaiden White	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

James Madison

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Xavier Brown	G	33	5-12	3-7	0-0	2	2	1	13
Elijah Hutchins-Everett	Center	29	6-10	0-1	0-0	7	0	1	12
Bryce Lindsay	G	29	4-9	2-6	0-0	7	2	2	10
Eddie Ricks III	F	24	4-9	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	8
AJ Smith	F	20	1-5	0-0	5-6	4	0	0	7
Ebenezer Dowuona	Forward	10	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	6
Mark Freeman	Guard	27	1-7	0-4	3-4	2	4	3	5
Justin Taylor	G	10	0-0	0-0	4-4	3	1	0	4
Noah Williams	Guard	18	1-5	0-1	0-1	1	1	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.6Possessions70.6

90.7Offensive Efficiency94.9

94.9Defensive Efficiency90.7

-4.2Net Efficiency4.2

42.7%Effective FG%45.1%

46.3%True Shooting %49.2%

23.6%Turnover Rate15.9%

24.2%Free Throw Rate24.6%

53.2%3-Point Rate32.8%

0.41Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

James Madison won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 70.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.