Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.2%Central Arkansas

18.8%North Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -10.1

PROJECTED TOTAL166.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -432

North Florida

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 88

Projected Total166.5

Projected ScoreNorth Florida 78

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricNorth Florida

54MMH Power Index36.3

113.9Offensive Efficiency109.4

105.2Defensive Efficiency121.1

8.7Net Efficiency-11.7

-3.9Strength of Schedule-0.6

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.3

71.0Tempo72.8

54.3%Effective FG%53.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate29.5%

6.1Average Margin-8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–36.3), offensive efficiency (113.9–109.4), defensive efficiency (105.2–121.1), net efficiency (8.7–-11.7).

North Florida COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-3.9).

Final

Central Arkansas

80—92

North Florida

North Florida by 12 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATNorth Florida

24-56FG35-68

43.0%FG%51.0%

9-213PT19-42

43.0%3PT%45.0%

23-28FT3-8

82.0%FT%38.0%

35Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists23

13Turnovers9

7Steals6

3Blocks3

12Fouls21

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Layne Taylor	G	37	6-15	4-7	3-3	1	4	2	0	19
Elias Cato	Forward	29	4-12	1-3	6-6	6	2	0	0	15
Brayden Fagbemi	G	26	4-6	2-3	2-2	1	2	2	0	12
Nehemiah Turner	F	20	4-6	0-0	2-4	6	3	0	3	10
Mike Evbagharu	G	29	1-5	0-1	7-8	8	1	0	0	9
Ben Fox	Guard	15	2-4	1-3	3-3	1	0	0	0	8
Diogo Seixas	Forward	18	2-4	0-1	0-2	4	1	1	0	4
Cole McCormick	F	21	1-3	1-3	0-0	4	2	2	0	3
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ethan Thomas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

North Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jasai Miles	G	34	8-14	5-10	1-1	9	0	1	2	22
Nate Lliteras	Guard	32	7-12	4-8	1-2	6	2	1	0	19
Oscar Berry	Guard	23	7-9	5-7	0-0	1	1	1	0	19
Liam Murphy	F	28	5-12	3-9	0-0	5	3	1	1	13
Jaylen Smith	G	28	3-6	0-2	0-1	3	12	1	0	6
Kamrin Oriol	G	17	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Josh Harris	F	17	2-6	0-0	1-4	8	1	1	0	5
Ametri Moss	G	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	4	0	0	2
Dante Oliver	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mason Lee	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

114.1Offensive Efficiency131.2

131.2Defensive Efficiency114.1

-17.1Net Efficiency17.1

50.9%Effective FG%65.4%

57.7%True Shooting %64.1%

18.2%Turnover Rate13.1%

50.0%Free Throw Rate11.8%

37.5%3-Point Rate61.8%

1.15Assist / Turnover2.56

Game Summary

North Florida won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.