Niagara

8-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.9%Niagara

89.1%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -14.7

PROJECTED TOTAL140.1

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -817

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNiagara 63

Projected Total140.1

Projected ScoreFairfield 77

Team Comparison

NiagaraMetricFairfield

35.8MMH Power Index50.1

100.8Offensive Efficiency109.6

112.4Defensive Efficiency105.4

-11.6Net Efficiency4.2

-0.8Strength of Schedule-3.4

-5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

63.4Tempo67.8

50.9%Effective FG%49.1%

18.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

27.3%Free Throw Rate28.4%

-7.4Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–35.8), offensive efficiency (109.6–100.8), defensive efficiency (105.4–112.4), net efficiency (4.2–-11.6).

Niagara COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.8–-3.4), shooting efficiency (50.9–49.1).

Final

Niagara

66—70

Fairfield

Fairfield by 4 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NiagaraTEAM STATFairfield

25-51FG24-63

49.0%FG%38.0%

7-213PT10-31

33.0%3PT%32.0%

9-13FT12-13

69.0%FT%92.0%

28Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds19

13Assists14

13Turnovers13

7Steals5

3Blocks2

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Page	G	29	5-8	2-4	0-0	0	2	1	0	12
Zion Russell	G	23	4-6	2-2	2-2	4	3	0	0	12
Jaeden Marshall	G	23	4-8	2-5	2-3	7	0	2	0	12
Olumide Adelodun	Forward	26	3-9	0-4	3-4	4	2	2	1	9
Josiah Davis	G	29	3-5	0-1	2-4	3	4	0	1	8
Jahari Williamson	G	11	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jhaylon Martinez	Center	24	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Will Shortt	F	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Justice Smith	Forward	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0	2
Damondre McKnight	Guard	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Sparks	G	27	6-13	3-8	2-2	4	1	0	0	17
Deon Perry	Guard	23	6-12	2-5	1-1	5	3	4	0	15
Prophet Johnson	G	29	4-13	2-6	2-2	9	4	0	0	12
Michael Rogan	G	21	4-6	2-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	10
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	24	2-4	1-3	2-2	10	0	0	0	7
Jamie Bergens	Guard	26	0-7	0-3	4-4	3	3	1	0	4
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	25	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Isaac Munkadi	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Birima Seck	Forward	10	0-2	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Peyton Smith	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

104.4Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency104.4

-6.3Net Efficiency6.3

55.9%Effective FG%46.0%

57.7%True Shooting %50.6%

20.6%Turnover Rate20.6%

25.5%Free Throw Rate20.6%

41.2%3-Point Rate49.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.