Western Illinois

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.2%Western Illinois

94.8%Morehead State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorehead State -19.0

PROJECTED TOTAL146.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMorehead State -1823

Morehead State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 64

Projected Total146.9

Projected ScoreMorehead State 83

Team Comparison

Western IllinoisMetricMorehead State

25.9MMH Power Index47.3

96.2Offensive Efficiency110.8

113.9Defensive Efficiency110.0

-17.7Net Efficiency0.8

-2.4Strength of Schedule-4.0

-26.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.1

67.5Tempo67.9

45.4%Effective FG%51.3%

17.5%Turnover Rate17.3%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %36.4%

37.5%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-11.9Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–25.9), offensive efficiency (110.8–96.2), defensive efficiency (110.0–113.9), net efficiency (0.8–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-4.0).

Final

Western Illinois

47—51

Morehead State

Morehead State by 4 • 58.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western IllinoisTEAM STATMorehead State

19-56FG18-58

34.0%FG%31.0%

2-123PT5-16

17.0%3PT%31.0%

7-9FT10-13

78.0%FT%77.0%

38Rebounds41

8Offensive Rebounds11

3Assists2

6Turnovers6

6Steals3

3Blocks6

11Fouls12

Player Box Score

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Smith	G	30	4-10	1-2	2-2	3	0	2	0	11
Marko Maletic	Guard	30	4-11	0-4	2-2	6	0	1	0	10
Kayden Carter	Forward	29	4-6	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	8
Trey Deveaux	F	12	3-8	0-0	1-1	5	0	0	1	7
Ryan Myers	G	31	2-14	0-4	1-2	2	0	1	0	5
Julius Rollins	G	23	1-5	1-2	1-2	3	0	0	0	4
Rodrick Payne	Forward	31	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	2	2	1	2
Tay Knox	C	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Caleb Thompson	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jerone Morton	G	38	6-10	3-4	2-2	4	1	1	0	17
Kenny White Jr.	Forward	31	5-15	1-1	3-4	8	1	0	2	14
Anouar Mellouk	F	31	5-11	0-1	2-3	10	0	0	1	12
George Marshall	G	23	2-7	1-4	2-2	6	0	1	1	7
Dieonte Miles	Forward	17	0-3	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	1
Steven Clay	G	25	0-6	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	1	0
Tyler Brelsford	Guard	17	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Kade Ruegsegger	Guard	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Breazeale	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.8Possessions58.8

79.9Offensive Efficiency86.7

86.7Defensive Efficiency79.9

-6.8Net Efficiency6.8

35.7%Effective FG%35.3%

39.0%True Shooting %39.7%

10.3%Turnover Rate10.1%

16.1%Free Throw Rate22.4%

21.4%3-Point Rate27.6%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.33

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 58.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.