Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.3%Sacramento State

45.7%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Arizona -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.7

MODEL MONEYLINESacramento State -119

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 78

Projected Total156.7

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 79

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricNorthern Arizona

43MMH Power Index36.9

106.1Offensive Efficiency107.1

112.0Defensive Efficiency114.8

-5.9Net Efficiency-7.7

0.9Strength of Schedule-1.8

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

73.2Tempo66.6

48.5%Effective FG%53.5%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.8%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

41.8%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-4.3Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sacramento State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSacramento State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.0–36.9), defensive efficiency (112.0–114.8), net efficiency (-5.9–-7.7), strength of schedule (0.9–-1.8).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.1–106.1), shooting efficiency (53.5–48.5).

Final

Sacramento State

53—77

Northern Arizona

Northern Arizona by 24 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

19-56FG27-59

34.0%FG%46.0%

5-293PT12-27

17.0%3PT%44.0%

10-17FT11-18

59.0%FT%61.0%

35Rebounds45

11Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists18

15Turnovers16

7Steals8

4Blocks—

20Fouls20

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	33	8-17	0-5	2-3	11	1	0	0	18
Julian Vaughns	Guard	32	6-15	3-7	3-4	1	4	1	0	18
EJ Neal Jr.	G	17	2-5	2-5	0-0	3	1	0	1	6
Chudi Dioramma	F	24	1-3	0-0	2-4	5	0	2	2	4
Bailey Nunn	G	31	0-3	0-3	2-3	0	2	0	0	2
Lachlan Brewer	G	19	1-5	0-3	0-1	4	0	1	0	2
Leo Ricketts	Guard	9	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Michael Wilson	G	23	0-2	0-2	1-2	7	2	2	0	1
Kiir Kiir Chol Deng	Forward	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	1	0
Deonte Williams	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	33	6-12	4-8	5-9	1	4	2	21
Diego Campisano	F	24	7-9	5-7	0-1	4	0	1	19
Carson Towt	F	29	4-8	0-0	3-4	14	6	1	11
Monty Bowser	G	24	5-9	1-3	0-0	8	0	1	11
Jayden Jackson	G	23	2-7	1-3	1-2	1	3	0	6
Leigh Rickwood-Pitt	Forward	15	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	4
Dillan Baker	G	15	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	3
Oakland Fort	G	21	0-5	0-2	2-2	1	4	3	2
Ali Ragab	Center	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Jack Wistrcill	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Ryan Abelman	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
C.J. Ford	Guard	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

76.9Offensive Efficiency111.8

111.8Defensive Efficiency76.9

-34.8Net Efficiency34.8

38.4%Effective FG%55.9%

41.4%True Shooting %57.0%

22.0%Turnover Rate23.0%

30.4%Free Throw Rate30.5%

51.8%3-Point Rate45.8%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.