Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.9%Portland State

71.1%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -246

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 75

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 81

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricNorthern Colorado

50.2MMH Power Index53.7

109.3Offensive Efficiency116.0

100.2Defensive Efficiency107.6

9.1Net Efficiency8.4

-5.6Strength of Schedule-4.3

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

70.1Tempo71.1

51.7%Effective FG%56.9%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.3%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

36.8%Free Throw Rate27.8%

6.4Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–50.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.3), strength of schedule (-4.3–-5.6), recent form (10.8–0.4).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–107.6), net efficiency (9.1–8.4), offensive rebounding (31.6–27.9).

Final

Portland State

69—72

Northern Colorado

Northern Colorado by 3 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

24-57FG26-52

42.0%FG%50.0%

11-273PT4-16

41.0%3PT%25.0%

10-15FT16-24

67.0%FT%67.0%

32Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists15

11Turnovers12

5Steals4

2Blocks3

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Qiant Myers	Guard	35	5-13	3-6	6-8	4	7	1	0	19
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	35	5-11	4-8	0-0	5	1	2	0	14
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	32	6-8	0-0	2-3	11	0	0	2	14
Cole Farrell	G	28	5-7	3-3	0-2	3	1	0	0	13
Jaylin Henderson	G	28	2-7	1-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	7
Terri Miller Jr.	F	14	1-5	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Kelcy Phipps	G	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Shane Nowell	Guard	11	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Isaac Brice	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	36	8-15	2-7	5-6	7	1	0	1	23
Brock Wisne	F	27	6-10	0-0	3-4	4	4	1	0	15
Jaron Rillie	Guard	36	4-10	0-3	3-4	6	2	1	0	11
Langston Reynolds	G	27	3-7	0-0	1-3	5	4	0	1	7
Quinn Denker	G	14	2-2	1-1	1-2	2	2	1	0	6
Marcell McCreary	G	19	1-4	0-2	3-5	3	2	0	1	5
Zach Bloch	G	28	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Taeshaud Jackson	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
William Humer	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

101.8Offensive Efficiency106.2

106.2Defensive Efficiency101.8

-4.4Net Efficiency4.4

51.8%Effective FG%53.8%

53.8%True Shooting %56.8%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.8%

26.3%Free Throw Rate46.2%

47.4%3-Point Rate30.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.