Louisiana

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.7%Louisiana

93.3%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -18.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -1393

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisiana 65

Projected Total148.3

Projected ScoreArkansas State 83

Team Comparison

LouisianaMetricArkansas State

38.6MMH Power Index57.7

99.3Offensive Efficiency113.1

110.2Defensive Efficiency105.3

-10.9Net Efficiency7.8

1.5Strength of Schedule-1.0

-9.0Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

64.1Tempo73.3

47.1%Effective FG%52.7%

16.8%Turnover Rate19.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

29.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-7.0Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–38.6), offensive efficiency (113.1–99.3), defensive efficiency (105.3–110.2), net efficiency (7.8–-10.9).

Louisiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-1.0), ball security (16.8–19.4).

Final

Louisiana

63—83

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 20 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisianaTEAM STATArkansas State

24-68FG27-61

35.0%FG%44.0%

4-173PT7-28

24.0%3PT%25.0%

11-15FT22-31

73.0%FT%71.0%

42Rebounds45

15Offensive Rebounds12

7Assists17

8Turnovers6

4Steals3

—Blocks5

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	23	6-12	0-0	6-6	8	0	0	18
Kentrell Garnett	Guard	34	4-8	2-4	0-0	4	1	3	10
Christian Wright	Guard	30	4-13	0-3	2-4	3	3	1	10
Kyran Ratliff	F	19	4-8	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	8
Chancellor White	G	13	3-7	1-3	1-2	5	0	0	8
Christian Landry	G	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	3
London Fields	G	22	1-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	2
Zeke Cook	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-1	5	1	0	2
Jeremiah Evans	F	10	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	2
Brandon Hardy	G	21	0-7	0-4	0-0	2	1	0	0
Kyndall Davis	G	14	0-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Julien	Forward	30	4-11	1-5	6-6	8	2	0	0	15
Terrance Ford Jr.	G	32	5-8	1-3	2-2	5	6	0	0	13
Joseph Pinion	G	27	4-13	0-7	5-6	8	5	1	0	13
Taryn Todd	Guard	29	5-13	2-7	0-2	8	3	0	0	12
Izaiyah Nelson	F	23	1-3	0-0	6-10	7	0	0	3	8
Derrian Ford	G	18	2-4	1-3	1-2	2	0	1	1	6
Rashaud Marshall	F	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Avery Felts	Guard	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Zane Butler	Guard	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Justin Johnson	G	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	0	2
Jacob St. Clair	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Josh Hill	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	0
Cody Head	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kameron Johnson	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

91.4Offensive Efficiency120.5

120.5Defensive Efficiency91.4

-29.0Net Efficiency29.0

38.2%Effective FG%50.0%

41.9%True Shooting %54.8%

11.7%Turnover Rate8.6%

22.1%Free Throw Rate50.8%

25.0%3-Point Rate45.9%

0.88Assist / Turnover2.83

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.