Utah Valley

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.4%Utah Valley

36.6%UT Arlington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL142.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -173

UT Arlington

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 73

Projected Total142.8

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 70

Team Comparison

Utah ValleyMetricUT Arlington

59.1MMH Power Index49.6

113.4Offensive Efficiency102.7

97.3Defensive Efficiency97.9

16.1Net Efficiency4.8

-3.3Strength of Schedule-0.8

6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.9

70.6Tempo68.1

56.0%Effective FG%48.5%

19.9%Turnover Rate20.4%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

37.3%Free Throw Rate43.7%

11.4Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–49.6), offensive efficiency (113.4–102.7), defensive efficiency (97.3–97.9), net efficiency (16.1–4.8).

UT Arlington COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.8–-3.3), free throw rate (43.7–37.3).

Final

Utah Valley

85—83

UT Arlington

Utah Valley by 2 • 77.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah ValleyTEAM STATUT Arlington

30-67FG30-65

45.0%FG%46.0%

4-173PT9-26

24.0%3PT%35.0%

21-31FT14-18

68.0%FT%78.0%

39Rebounds38

15Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists15

10Turnovers18

9Steals4

3Blocks2

19Fouls24

Player Box Score

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominick Nelson	G	35	6-14	0-4	13-16	4	5	0	1	25
Tanner Toolson	G	34	7-12	3-6	5-9	4	2	3	0	22
Jackson Holcombe	G	25	4-5	0-0	0-1	6	0	1	0	8
Carter Welling	F	19	4-11	0-2	0-1	5	0	1	1	8
Hayden Welling	F	14	2-4	1-1	3-4	1	0	0	1	8
Trevan Leonhardt	G	34	2-7	0-3	0-0	4	4	3	0	4
Ethan Potter	F	21	2-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	0	4
Kylin Green	G	16	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Cory Wells	F	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Osiris Grady	F	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Wells	Guard	36	7-15	4-10	7-7	3	2	1	0	25
Lance Ware	Forward	41	7-12	0-0	0-0	11	1	0	0	14
Darius Burford	Guard	35	5-12	1-2	2-3	6	4	2	0	13
Raysean Seamster	F	28	5-7	0-0	1-2	5	2	0	1	11
Diante Smith	Forward	31	3-12	2-8	0-0	5	1	0	1	8
Brody Robinson	G	28	1-5	1-5	3-4	1	3	0	0	6
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	12	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	3
Troy Hupstead	F	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Brandyn Talbot	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Kade Douglas	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.7Possessions77.7

109.4Offensive Efficiency106.8

106.8Defensive Efficiency109.4

2.6Net Efficiency-2.6

47.8%Effective FG%53.1%

52.0%True Shooting %56.4%

13.0%Turnover Rate22.9%

46.3%Free Throw Rate27.7%

25.4%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.30Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 77.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.