California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.4%California Baptist

26.6%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -276

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 75

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreTarleton State 70

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricTarleton State

58.3MMH Power Index44.6

106.5Offensive Efficiency103.2

99.0Defensive Efficiency101.6

7.5Net Efficiency1.6

1.8Strength of Schedule-2.3

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

68.2Tempo72.2

48.8%Effective FG%49.0%

17.9%Turnover Rate19.9%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

37.0%Free Throw Rate42.8%

5.1Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–44.6), offensive efficiency (106.5–103.2), defensive efficiency (99.0–101.6), net efficiency (7.5–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (49.0–48.8), free throw rate (42.8–37.0).

Final

California Baptist

57—67

Tarleton State

Tarleton State by 10 • 59.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATTarleton State

15-44FG20-45

34.0%FG%44.0%

3-173PT3-13

18.0%3PT%23.0%

24-33FT24-30

73.0%FT%80.0%

32Rebounds33

14Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists9

13Turnovers11

8Steals6

4Blocks2

25Fouls25

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	34	3-10	0-4	13-15	2	1	1	0	19
Martel Williams	G	26	4-10	2-4	6-7	2	0	2	0	16
Kendal Coleman	Forward	32	2-8	0-2	4-6	9	0	2	2	8
Sam Silverstein	G	30	2-4	0-2	0-2	4	3	1	0	4
AJ Braun	Forward	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	4
Javonte Johnson	Guard	19	1-2	0-1	1-1	2	0	0	0	3
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Adam Moussa	Guard	26	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	6	0	1	0
Bradey Henige	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-2	3	0	1	1	0
Tylen Riley	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Freddy Hicks	G	20	3-6	0-0	9-14	2	3	0	0	15
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	26	2-7	1-4	8-8	2	3	0	0	13
Chris Mpaka	F	15	5-7	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	11
Keitenn Bristow	F	38	4-10	0-5	2-2	4	2	0	2	10
Bubu Benjamin	G	40	3-7	2-4	0-0	6	0	3	0	8
Izzy Miles	G	25	2-4	0-0	3-3	4	0	2	0	7
Jordan Mizell	G	26	1-3	0-0	1-1	6	1	1	0	3
Marty Silvera	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nick Krass	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Karim Elgizawy	Guard	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.0Possessions59.0

96.6Offensive Efficiency113.6

113.6Defensive Efficiency96.6

-16.9Net Efficiency16.9

37.5%Effective FG%47.8%

47.8%True Shooting %56.5%

22.2%Turnover Rate18.6%

75.0%Free Throw Rate66.7%

38.6%3-Point Rate28.9%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 59.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.