Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.6%Montana State

41.4%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -142

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 77

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreIdaho State 75

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricIdaho State

53.6MMH Power Index45.9

114.4Offensive Efficiency111.0

104.9Defensive Efficiency113.4

9.5Net Efficiency-2.4

-3.7Strength of Schedule0.2

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

68.1Tempo67.1

55.1%Effective FG%52.2%

14.7%Turnover Rate16.5%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

30.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

6.5Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–45.9), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–113.4), net efficiency (9.5–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-3.7), offensive rebounding (33.9–28.1), free throw rate (39.1–30.7).

Final

Montana State

67—70

Idaho State

Idaho State by 3 • 59.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATIdaho State

24-61FG27-57

39.0%FG%47.0%

12-313PT6-15

39.0%3PT%40.0%

7-12FT10-12

58.0%FT%83.0%

31Rebounds36

14Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists14

8Turnovers8

7Steals6

7Blocks2

15Fouls13

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Patterson	Guard	30	6-11	6-11	0-0	3	1	0	0	18
Brandon Walker	F	28	7-15	2-4	2-3	3	1	1	1	18
Bryce Zephir	G	25	4-9	0-3	1-3	2	2	2	0	9
Jed Miller	G	13	2-3	2-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	6
Sam Lecholat	Forward	23	2-7	1-5	0-0	7	2	0	1	5
Jabe Mullins	Guard	16	1-2	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	1	4
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	27	1-6	1-3	0-0	3	1	2	1	3
Patrick McMahon	G	16	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	2	2
Chika Nduka	Forward	12	0-1	0-0	2-4	2	1	1	0	2
Brian Goracke	Forward	10	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	1	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Hollenbeck	F	35	7-13	4-6	4-4	4	3	0	1	22
Dylan Darling	G	37	6-15	1-3	6-6	5	5	1	0	19
Isaiah Griffin	F	33	4-9	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	9
Evan Otten	F	25	4-6	0-0	0-1	6	0	1	0	8
Jake O'Neil	Guard	39	3-6	0-0	0-1	11	5	2	1	6
Jackson Greene	Forward	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Blake Daberkow	F	12	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Jaedyn Brown	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
AJ Burgin	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.7Possessions59.7

112.2Offensive Efficiency117.3

117.3Defensive Efficiency112.2

-5.0Net Efficiency5.0

49.2%Effective FG%52.6%

50.2%True Shooting %55.8%

13.2%Turnover Rate13.6%

19.7%Free Throw Rate21.1%

50.8%3-Point Rate26.3%

1.75Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 59.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.