UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%UC Davis

57.4%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL164.3

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -135

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 81

Projected Total164.3

Projected ScoreCal Poly 83

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricCal Poly

48.4MMH Power Index46.5

107.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

103.7Defensive Efficiency111.0

3.5Net Efficiency-3.8

-1.9Strength of Schedule1.7

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

72.4Tempo76.6

52.3%Effective FG%52.2%

17.7%Turnover Rate19.8%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

41.5%Free Throw Rate35.8%

2.5Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–46.5), defensive efficiency (103.7–111.0), net efficiency (3.5–-3.8), shooting efficiency (52.3–52.2).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-1.9), recent form (2.4–-0.1), offensive rebounding (29.9–26.7).

Final

UC Davis

65—54

Cal Poly

UC Davis by 11 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATCal Poly

24-58FG17-49

41.0%FG%35.0%

5-183PT11-31

28.0%3PT%35.0%

12-13FT9-12

92.0%FT%75.0%

35Rebounds34

14Offensive Rebounds13

7Assists13

11Turnovers20

11Steals6

2Blocks3

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	35	7-20	3-7	4-4	5	1	2	0	21
Pablo Tamba	F	25	8-9	0-0	2-3	7	3	3	0	18
Connor Sevilla	G	36	5-9	2-5	2-2	1	1	0	0	14
Nils Cooper	G	27	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	3	0	4
Niko Rocak	F	12	1-1	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	2	4
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	30	1-11	0-4	0-0	4	1	2	0	2
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	26	0-4	0-1	2-2	6	0	1	0	2
Sione Lose	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mac Riniker	Guard	36	6-13	2-7	4-6	7	3	2	1	18
Isaac Jessup	Guard	33	4-9	4-8	0-0	2	2	1	0	12
Owen Koonce	Guard	33	2-8	0-2	2-2	6	1	0	2	6
Guzman Vasilic	G	23	1-2	1-1	2-2	6	0	0	0	5
Peter Bandelj	G	28	1-6	1-3	1-2	4	3	0	0	4
Jarred Hyder	Guard	34	1-7	1-6	0-0	1	4	2	0	3
Cayden Ward	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	4	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Luka Tarlac	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Ethan Menzies	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

105.7Offensive Efficiency87.8

87.8Defensive Efficiency105.7

17.9Net Efficiency-17.9

45.7%Effective FG%45.9%

50.6%True Shooting %49.4%

18.0%Turnover Rate32.4%

22.4%Free Throw Rate24.5%

31.0%3-Point Rate63.3%

0.64Assist / Turnover0.65

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.