Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.3%Virginia

57.7%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -136

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 76

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreLouisville 80

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricLouisville

68.9MMH Power Index67.1

119.0Offensive Efficiency118.6

101.8Defensive Efficiency102.2

17.2Net Efficiency16.4

5.2Strength of Schedule6.0

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

67.6Tempo71.0

55.0%Effective FG%56.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

33.2%Free Throw Rate34.1%

11.6Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–67.1), offensive efficiency (119.0–118.6), defensive efficiency (101.8–102.2), net efficiency (17.2–16.4).

Louisville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.0–5.2), shooting efficiency (56.9–55.0), free throw rate (34.1–33.2).

Final

Virginia

67—81

Louisville

Louisville by 14 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATLouisville

24-51FG26-60

47.0%FG%43.0%

8-213PT6-23

38.0%3PT%26.0%

11-19FT23-27

58.0%FT%85.0%

30Rebounds36

5Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists11

15Turnovers7

5Steals8

3Blocks3

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Saunders	F	33	6-13	3-6	4-7	10	1	1	0	19
Isaac McKneely	G	33	4-9	1-5	1-1	0	4	1	0	10
Blake Buchanan	F	20	3-5	0-0	3-5	5	0	0	1	9
Andrew Rohde	G	35	3-10	1-4	0-0	3	4	1	0	7
Anthony Robinson	F	14	2-2	0-0	3-5	5	0	0	0	7
Ishan Sharma	F	23	2-4	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Dai Dai Ames	G	28	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	4	2	2	4
Taine Murray	Guard	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jacob Cofie	F	10	1-3	0-1	0-1	1	0	0	0	2
TJ Power	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reyne Smith	Guard	32	4-11	4-11	7-7	4	0	0	0	19
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	33	6-13	0-5	4-5	6	1	1	0	16
J'Vonne Hadley	G	34	5-8	1-1	2-3	3	1	1	0	13
James Scott	F	29	5-7	0-0	2-3	10	1	0	1	12
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	34	2-13	0-4	4-4	3	8	4	0	8
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	12	3-4	0-0	1-1	3	0	2	1	7
Khani Rooths	F	17	1-3	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Frank Anselem-Ibe	Center	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	1
Cole Sherman	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Spencer Legg	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aidan McCool	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

95.9Offensive Efficiency115.9

115.9Defensive Efficiency95.9

-20.0Net Efficiency20.0

54.9%Effective FG%48.3%

55.8%True Shooting %55.6%

21.4%Turnover Rate10.0%

37.3%Free Throw Rate45.0%

41.2%3-Point Rate38.3%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Louisville won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.