American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.4%American University

34.6%Holy Cross

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL144.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -189

Holy Cross

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 74

Projected Total144.3

Projected ScoreHoly Cross 70

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricHoly Cross

48.2MMH Power Index37.9

110.6Offensive Efficiency103.3

105.8Defensive Efficiency110.9

4.8Net Efficiency-7.6

-4.3Strength of Schedule-2.6

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

67.5Tempo66.1

52.6%Effective FG%49.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.4%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %22.4%

30.1%Free Throw Rate32.5%

3.3Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–37.9), offensive efficiency (110.6–103.3), defensive efficiency (105.8–110.9), net efficiency (4.8–-7.6).

Holy Cross COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.6–-4.3), ball security (15.4–15.7), free throw rate (32.5–30.1).

Final

American University

74—65

Holy Cross

American University by 9 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATHoly Cross

25-53FG26-51

47.0%FG%51.0%

10-233PT8-20

43.0%3PT%40.0%

14-16FT5-11

88.0%FT%45.0%

33Rebounds26

8Offensive Rebounds4

16Assists6

9Turnovers11

7Steals4

1Blocks2

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Greg Jones	F	29	6-7	4-4	5-6	7	0	2	0	21
Elijah Stephens	Guard	29	6-10	2-3	2-2	4	9	2	0	16
Matt Rogers	Forward	26	4-8	2-5	0-0	4	1	1	0	10
Colin Smalls	Guard	23	2-8	1-6	4-4	2	0	1	0	9
Eric Michaels	F	11	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	6
Matt Mayock	F	18	1-6	1-3	2-2	3	2	0	0	5
Wyatt Nausadis	G	15	2-7	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Adrian Samuels	G	14	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Lincoln Ball	Guard	28	0-0	0-0	0-0	7	2	0	0	0
Julen Iturbe	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Holy Cross

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Green	G	36	9-14	4-7	2-4	6	2	0	0	24
DeAndre Williams	G	37	6-9	2-3	1-3	5	3	1	0	15
Joe Nugent	G	39	2-8	2-7	2-2	3	0	2	0	8
Gabe Warren	G	24	4-6	0-1	0-1	2	0	0	0	8
Jaiden Feroah	F	17	3-3	0-0	0-1	2	1	1	2	6
Caleb Kenney	Forward	31	2-7	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Kahlil Singleton	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Aidan Richard	F	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Declan Ryan	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

118.6Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.2Defensive Efficiency118.6

14.4Net Efficiency-14.4

56.6%Effective FG%58.8%

61.1%True Shooting %57.8%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.4%

30.2%Free Throw Rate21.6%

43.4%3-Point Rate39.2%

1.78Assist / Turnover0.55

Game Summary

American University won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.