Mercyhurst

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Mercyhurst

55.5%Wagner

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWagner -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL139.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWagner -125

Wagner

14-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 69

Projected Total139.4

Projected ScoreWagner 71

Team Comparison

MercyhurstMetricWagner

45.5MMH Power Index42.9

105.2Offensive Efficiency105.5

102.2Defensive Efficiency106.1

3.0Net Efficiency-0.6

-5.7Strength of Schedule-5.0

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

65.9Tempo67.6

50.5%Effective FG%50.2%

14.4%Turnover Rate18.9%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

25.4%Free Throw Rate31.6%

2.0Average Margin-0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–42.9), defensive efficiency (102.2–106.1), net efficiency (3.0–-0.6), recent form (3.2–0.3).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (105.5–105.2), strength of schedule (-5.0–-5.7), offensive rebounding (34.0–26.8).

Final

Mercyhurst

69—65

Wagner

Mercyhurst by 4 • 61.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercyhurstTEAM STATWagner

20-41FG18-43

49.0%FG%42.0%

6-153PT4-15

40.0%3PT%27.0%

23-27FT25-29

85.0%FT%86.0%

21Rebounds30

4Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists13

11Turnovers15

8Steals6

1Blocks—

24Fouls25

Player Box Score

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Reichert	Forward	36	7-13	1-2	7-7	8	1	1	0	22
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	33	3-4	2-3	6-8	2	2	1	0	14
Jeff Planutis	Forward	35	3-9	2-5	4-4	2	1	1	0	12
Bernie Blunt III	G	16	3-4	1-2	3-3	0	0	1	0	10
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	19	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	2	0	4
James Thomas	F	11	2-2	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	4
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	15	1-5	0-1	1-2	3	2	1	1	3
Christian Gamble	G	19	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Max Jusianiec	G	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Lemelman	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
R.J. Greene	G	20	3-4	0-0	11-14	3	0	0	17
Zaire Williams	G	36	5-14	1-6	4-4	3	1	3	15
Zae Blake	G	28	2-3	1-1	2-2	5	3	2	7
Zavier Fitch	F	21	2-4	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	6
Keyontae Lewis	F	20	1-2	0-0	4-4	6	0	0	6
Tyje Kelton	F	17	1-3	1-3	2-2	4	2	0	5
Churchill Bounds	F	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	4
Javier Ezquerra	G	28	1-6	1-3	0-1	1	5	0	3
Di'Andre Howell-South	G	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	2
Ja'Kair Sanchez	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.3Possessions61.3

112.6Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency112.6

6.5Net Efficiency-6.5

56.1%Effective FG%46.5%

64.1%True Shooting %57.2%

18.1%Turnover Rate24.3%

65.9%Free Throw Rate67.4%

36.6%3-Point Rate34.9%

0.82Assist / Turnover0.87

Game Summary

Mercyhurst won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 61.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.