Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.7%Arizona State

84.3%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -12.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.0

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -537

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 68

Projected Total149.0

Projected ScoreCincinnati 81

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricCincinnati

51MMH Power Index61.5

108.1Offensive Efficiency105.3

110.9Defensive Efficiency97.3

-2.8Net Efficiency8.0

7.0Strength of Schedule5.1

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

70.6Tempo69.4

51.3%Effective FG%50.6%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.0%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

40.2%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-1.9Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–51.0), defensive efficiency (97.3–110.9), net efficiency (8.0–-2.8), recent form (14.4–-7.5).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.1–105.3), strength of schedule (7.0–5.1), shooting efficiency (51.3–50.6).

Final

Arizona State

60—67

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 7 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATCincinnati

22-62FG25-60

35.0%FG%42.0%

6-223PT5-22

27.0%3PT%23.0%

10-13FT12-16

77.0%FT%75.0%

42Rebounds33

16Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists12

14Turnovers7

4Steals11

5Blocks8

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Quaintance	F	39	6-10	0-0	3-6	14	1	1	5	15
Alston Mason	Guard	40	5-13	2-4	1-1	2	1	0	0	13
BJ Freeman	Guard	37	5-14	2-5	0-0	6	1	1	0	12
Adam Miller	G	36	2-9	2-7	2-2	2	1	0	0	8
Basheer Jihad	Forward	33	2-8	0-3	4-4	7	5	1	0	8
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	7	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Amier Ali	G	8	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dillon Mitchell	F	30	6-10	0-1	2-3	3	2	3	2	14
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	25	3-11	0-3	6-8	4	1	2	0	12
Jizzle James	G	21	5-10	0-4	2-2	1	2	0	0	12
Simas Lukosius	Guard	25	4-9	2-5	0-0	4	0	4	0	10
Day Day Thomas	G	26	2-6	0-1	2-2	3	4	1	1	6
CJ Fredrick Jr.	Guard	16	2-5	2-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Tyler Betsey	F	10	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	27	1-1	0-0	0-1	9	0	0	3	2
Arrinten Page	F	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	0
Josh Reed	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

91.0Offensive Efficiency101.7

101.7Defensive Efficiency91.0

-10.6Net Efficiency10.6

40.3%Effective FG%45.8%

44.0%True Shooting %49.6%

21.2%Turnover Rate10.7%

21.0%Free Throw Rate26.7%

35.5%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.