Wright State

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.2%Wright State

53.8%Northern Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL161.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -116

Northern Kentucky

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWright State 80

Projected Total161.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 82

Team Comparison

Wright StateMetricNorthern Kentucky

57.1MMH Power Index53.9

116.4Offensive Efficiency114.9

106.5Defensive Efficiency107.1

9.9Net Efficiency7.8

-2.0Strength of Schedule-2.9

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency4.6

69.2Tempo72.3

55.2%Effective FG%54.5%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.3%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

38.3%Free Throw Rate37.1%

6.8Average Margin5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wright State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWright State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–53.9), offensive efficiency (116.4–114.9), defensive efficiency (106.5–107.1), net efficiency (9.9–7.8).

Final

Wright State

78—70

Northern Kentucky

Wright State by 8 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wright StateTEAM STATNorthern Kentucky

30-63FG21-53

48.0%FG%40.0%

7-183PT6-15

39.0%3PT%40.0%

11-16FT22-32

69.0%FT%69.0%

41Rebounds29

12Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists8

10Turnovers9

2Steals1

2Blocks5

23Fouls21

Player Box Score

Wright State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keaton Norris	G	35	8-11	3-5	2-2	3	5	0	0	21
Jack Doumbia Jr.	F	25	7-15	0-0	1-1	8	2	0	0	15
Brandon Noel	F	25	4-9	0-0	4-5	6	0	0	1	12
Alex Huibregtse	G	29	4-10	2-6	1-2	5	0	0	0	11
Michael Imariagbe	F	22	3-5	0-0	2-4	8	1	0	0	8
Andrew Welage	Guard	12	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Andrea Holden	F	12	2-3	0-0	1-2	9	0	0	0	5
Logan Woods	G	21	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	1	0
Solomon Callaghan	G	17	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	2	0	0
Drey Carter	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Robinson	Guard	33	4-13	1-4	8-10	4	0	1	0	17
Josh Dilling	Guard	31	5-9	4-6	3-3	3	1	0	0	17
Keeyan Itejere	F	34	3-5	0-0	5-9	8	1	0	3	11
Sam Vinson	Guard	34	3-12	0-2	4-6	6	2	0	2	10
Dan Gherezgher	G	25	3-8	1-3	0-1	1	3	0	0	7
LJ Wells	F	8	2-4	0-0	2-3	2	0	0	0	6
Randall Pettus II	G	22	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Hubertas Pivorius	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cesar Tchilombo	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Paulius Rapolis	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

111.6Offensive Efficiency100.1

100.1Defensive Efficiency111.6

11.4Net Efficiency-11.4

53.2%Effective FG%45.3%

55.2%True Shooting %51.3%

14.6%Turnover Rate12.6%

25.4%Free Throw Rate60.4%

28.6%3-Point Rate28.3%

1.10Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

Wright State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.