Central Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.8%Central Michigan

24.2%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Michigan -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Michigan -313

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 78

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 73

Team Comparison

Central MichiganMetricNorthern Illinois

44MMH Power Index29.2

105.9Offensive Efficiency99.7

111.0Defensive Efficiency111.6

-5.1Net Efficiency-11.9

-0.5Strength of Schedule-2.1

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

69.3Tempo69.7

52.6%Effective FG%48.5%

18.3%Turnover Rate21.3%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

32.9%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-3.5Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–29.2), offensive efficiency (105.9–99.7), defensive efficiency (111.0–111.6), net efficiency (-5.1–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–29.6), free throw rate (39.6–32.9).

Final

Central Michigan

71—66

Northern Illinois

Central Michigan by 5 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central MichiganTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

29-60FG23-54

48.0%FG%43.0%

6-143PT13-27

43.0%3PT%48.0%

7-11FT7-15

64.0%FT%47.0%

44Rebounds26

16Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists13

14Turnovers10

7Steals6

2Blocks2

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jakobi Heady	G	39	8-16	0-3	0-0	9	1	2	0	16
Cayden Vasko	G	32	5-7	3-3	2-2	4	5	1	1	15
Anthony Pritchard	Guard	38	5-14	1-1	2-4	6	9	3	0	13
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	26	5-9	2-4	1-2	1	2	0	0	13
Bryan Ndjonga	F	15	3-3	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	1	6
Quentin Heady	F	18	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	14	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Damarion Bonds	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Shaedon Simpson	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quaran McPherson	G	32	8-12	5-7	1-4	4	0	0	0	22
Quentin Jones	G	38	4-12	2-5	2-2	2	4	1	0	12
Kailon Nicholls	G	28	4-9	2-3	1-2	3	3	3	0	11
James Dent Jr.	G	40	3-11	2-5	1-4	7	3	2	1	9
Ethan Butler	F	35	3-5	1-2	2-3	7	2	0	1	9
Jayden Mott	F	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Tsvet Sotirov	F	23	0-4	0-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

112.3Offensive Efficiency104.4

104.4Defensive Efficiency112.3

7.9Net Efficiency-7.9

53.3%Effective FG%54.6%

54.4%True Shooting %54.0%

22.1%Turnover Rate15.8%

18.3%Free Throw Rate27.8%

23.3%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.29Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Central Michigan won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.