Canisius

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.0%Canisius

91.0%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -15.6

PROJECTED TOTAL139.0

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -1011

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCanisius 62

Projected Total139.0

Projected ScoreFairfield 77

Team Comparison

CanisiusMetricFairfield

33.9MMH Power Index50.1

97.1Offensive Efficiency109.6

108.8Defensive Efficiency105.4

-11.7Net Efficiency4.2

-1.8Strength of Schedule-3.4

-10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

64.8Tempo67.8

46.8%Effective FG%49.1%

19.6%Turnover Rate15.0%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

32.4%Free Throw Rate28.4%

-7.5Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–33.9), offensive efficiency (109.6–97.1), defensive efficiency (105.4–108.8), net efficiency (4.2–-11.7).

Canisius COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.4), free throw rate (32.4–28.4).

Final

Canisius

78—67

Fairfield

Canisius by 11 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CanisiusTEAM STATFairfield

27-50FG22-56

54.0%FG%39.0%

11-183PT7-23

61.0%3PT%30.0%

13-17FT16-21

76.0%FT%76.0%

28Rebounds32

2Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists10

7Turnovers9

6Steals3

3Blocks2

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Canisius

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Paul McMillan IV	Guard	36	9-16	2-3	11-14	3	4	2	0	31
Tana Kopa	Guard	37	7-13	5-10	2-3	5	0	0	2	21
Jasman Sangha	Forward	37	6-11	1-1	0-0	6	1	0	1	13
Dylan Godfrey	F	11	2-3	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Anthony Benard	G	33	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	5	3	0	4
Cameron Palesse	G	32	1-2	1-1	0-0	7	1	1	0	3
Evan van der Plas	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Gianni Thompson	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamie Bergens	Guard	35	6-12	2-4	3-5	1	2	0	0	17
Prophet Johnson	G	28	4-11	0-1	8-11	6	3	0	1	16
Deon Perry	Guard	17	5-10	2-4	0-0	3	3	1	0	12
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	28	3-6	1-4	3-3	4	0	0	0	10
Braden Sparks	G	35	2-9	2-7	2-2	3	1	2	0	8
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	22	1-4	0-2	0-0	5	1	0	1	2
Isaac Munkadi	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Michael Rogan	G	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Birima Seck	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Peyton Smith	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

121.7Offensive Efficiency104.5

104.5Defensive Efficiency121.7

17.2Net Efficiency-17.2

65.0%Effective FG%45.5%

67.2%True Shooting %50.8%

11.1%Turnover Rate13.9%

34.0%Free Throw Rate37.5%

36.0%3-Point Rate41.1%

1.86Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

Canisius won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.