Stanford

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%Stanford

76.5%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -326

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStanford 72

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 81

Team Comparison

StanfordMetricNorth Carolina

59.2MMH Power Index65.2

111.6Offensive Efficiency115.5

107.1Defensive Efficiency103.8

4.5Net Efficiency11.7

5.2Strength of Schedule7.6

7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

68.1Tempo69.0

51.9%Effective FG%54.6%

15.5%Turnover Rate13.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

37.2%Free Throw Rate38.1%

3.0Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–59.2), offensive efficiency (115.5–111.6), defensive efficiency (103.8–107.1), net efficiency (11.7–4.5).

Stanford COUNTERS WITHrecent form (7.4–-1.8), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.1).

Final

Stanford

72—71

North Carolina

Stanford by 1 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StanfordTEAM STATNorth Carolina

26-60FG23-54

43.0%FG%43.0%

7-223PT5-18

32.0%3PT%28.0%

13-14FT20-24

93.0%FT%83.0%

32Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds5

15Assists14

8Turnovers5

3Steals3

7Blocks2

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maxime Raynaud	Forward	37	8-24	3-12	6-6	13	0	0	4	25
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	38	7-13	0-2	6-6	4	7	0	0	20
Oziyah Sellers	G	36	5-11	1-3	0-0	3	3	1	0	11
Donavin Young	F	34	3-4	3-3	0-0	4	1	1	3	9
Ryan Agarwal	G	34	3-7	0-2	0-0	6	2	0	0	6
Chisom Okpara	F	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Benny Gealer	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Aidan Cammann	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	38	6-15	3-7	4-4	3	5	1	0	19
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	24	5-8	0-0	3-4	5	0	0	0	13
Elliot Cadeau	G	26	3-4	0-0	6-8	6	5	1	0	12
Seth Trimble	G	30	3-7	1-2	2-2	4	1	1	0	9
Jalen Washington	C	16	4-9	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Ian Jackson	G	32	1-8	0-5	4-4	3	2	0	1	6
Drake Powell	Guard	25	1-3	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	1	3
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Cade Tyson	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

108.1Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.6Defensive Efficiency108.1

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

49.2%Effective FG%47.2%

54.0%True Shooting %54.3%

11.8%Turnover Rate7.6%

23.3%Free Throw Rate44.4%

36.7%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.88Assist / Turnover2.80

Game Summary

Stanford won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.