Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.7%Central Arkansas

34.3%Jacksonville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -192

Jacksonville

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 78

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreJacksonville 75

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricJacksonville

54MMH Power Index43.6

113.9Offensive Efficiency109.8

105.2Defensive Efficiency110.3

8.7Net Efficiency-0.5

-3.9Strength of Schedule-4.8

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.2

71.0Tempo66.6

54.3%Effective FG%51.7%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate33.9%

6.1Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–43.6), offensive efficiency (113.9–109.8), defensive efficiency (105.2–110.3), net efficiency (8.7–-0.5).

Jacksonville COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.6–29.6), free throw rate (33.9–30.7).

Final

Central Arkansas

62—72

Jacksonville

Jacksonville by 10 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATJacksonville

22-61FG27-56

36.0%FG%48.0%

9-273PT10-21

33.0%3PT%48.0%

9-12FT8-12

75.0%FT%67.0%

31Rebounds41

13Offensive Rebounds13

9Assists14

10Turnovers14

7Steals6

—Blocks5

11Fouls13

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Layne Taylor	G	37	6-13	1-6	7-7	2	2	1	20
Cole McCormick	F	22	7-10	5-6	0-0	2	0	2	19
Brayden Fagbemi	G	38	4-12	2-7	2-3	5	1	2	12
Nehemiah Turner	F	22	2-7	0-0	0-0	10	3	0	4
Ben Fox	Guard	5	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	3
Mike Evbagharu	G	35	1-10	0-3	0-0	2	2	1	2
Diogo Seixas	Forward	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Elias Cato	Forward	29	0-5	0-3	0-2	5	1	0	0

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert McCray V	G	28	6-13	2-5	0-2	5	5	2	1	14
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	25	5-10	3-7	1-1	5	0	1	2	14
Stephon Payne	F	25	5-9	0-0	1-1	11	1	1	0	11
Chris Arias	G	20	3-5	3-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Jakari Spence	Guard	28	2-5	0-0	4-6	2	3	0	1	8
Zach Bell	G	27	2-6	0-2	2-2	3	0	1	0	6
Kent Jackson	G	17	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	5
Tito Deng	F	14	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Kendall Munson	Forward	15	0-3	0-0	0-0	6	3	1	0	0
Donovan Rivers	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

98.1Offensive Efficiency113.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency98.1

-15.8Net Efficiency15.8

43.4%Effective FG%57.1%

46.5%True Shooting %58.3%

15.7%Turnover Rate22.3%

19.7%Free Throw Rate21.4%

44.3%3-Point Rate37.5%

0.90Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Jacksonville won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.