Siena

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Siena

62.2%Merrimack

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL134.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -165

Merrimack

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSiena 65

Projected Total134.0

Projected ScoreMerrimack 69

Team Comparison

SienaMetricMerrimack

53.8MMH Power Index53.7

109.2Offensive Efficiency106.4

102.2Defensive Efficiency103.2

7.0Net Efficiency3.2

-0.5Strength of Schedule0.7

3.0Last 10 Net Efficiency12.9

64.4Tempo64.4

50.7%Effective FG%49.3%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.8%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

34.9%Free Throw Rate39.5%

4.5Average Margin2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Siena HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSiena holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–53.7), offensive efficiency (109.2–106.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–103.2), net efficiency (7.0–3.2).

Merrimack COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–-0.5), recent form (12.9–3.0), ball security (14.8–15.8).

Final

Siena

58—64

Merrimack

Merrimack by 6 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SienaTEAM STATMerrimack

22-51FG24-56

43.0%FG%43.0%

4-183PT11-29

22.0%3PT%38.0%

10-14FT5-8

71.0%FT%63.0%

40Rebounds23

10Offensive Rebounds3

11Assists16

17Turnovers4

2Steals15

6Blocks4

11Fouls12

Player Box Score

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brendan Coyle	F	40	4-11	2-9	6-8	7	0	0	0	16
Gavin Doty	G	39	6-10	0-0	0-1	10	3	0	0	12
Justice Shoats	G	39	5-11	0-0	0-0	6	5	1	0	10
Devin Brafford	F	29	3-6	0-1	3-3	6	1	1	6	9
Major Freeman	G	37	3-11	1-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	7
Reid Ducharme	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Myles Wilmoth	F	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	6	2	0	0	1

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Becht	Guard	33	6-14	6-14	0-1	1	2	3	0	18
Adam Clark	G	37	7-15	1-2	0-0	7	6	4	0	15
Devon Savage	Guard	39	4-6	4-6	0-0	1	2	3	0	12
Sean Trumper	Forward	22	3-6	0-2	4-5	2	4	2	0	10
Bryan Etumnu	F	37	2-3	0-1	1-2	9	0	0	4	5
Armandas Plintauskas	Guard	11	1-5	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Malik Edmead	G	10	1-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	3	0	2
Tye Dorset	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
David Murray	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

92.4Offensive Efficiency101.9

101.9Defensive Efficiency92.4

-9.6Net Efficiency9.6

47.1%Effective FG%52.7%

50.3%True Shooting %53.5%

26.3%Turnover Rate6.6%

27.5%Free Throw Rate14.3%

35.3%3-Point Rate51.8%

0.65Assist / Turnover4.00

Game Summary

Merrimack won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.