Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.9%Georgia State

93.1%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -17.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -1349

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 69

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScoreArkansas State 86

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricArkansas State

38.9MMH Power Index57.7

101.3Offensive Efficiency113.1

107.5Defensive Efficiency105.3

-6.2Net Efficiency7.8

-1.7Strength of Schedule-1.0

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

69.5Tempo73.3

45.3%Effective FG%52.7%

15.6%Turnover Rate19.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

37.4%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-4.3Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–38.9), offensive efficiency (113.1–101.3), defensive efficiency (105.3–107.5), net efficiency (7.8–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–19.4).

Final

Georgia State

59—85

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 26 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATArkansas State

22-69FG31-78

32.0%FG%40.0%

2-233PT13-39

9.0%3PT%33.0%

13-21FT10-11

62.0%FT%91.0%

49Rebounds51

18Offensive Rebounds16

10Assists22

11Turnovers5

4Steals6

2Blocks7

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cesare Edwards	Center	34	5-16	0-1	5-5	10	1	0	2	15
Nick McMullen	Forward	32	5-8	0-0	5-10	12	0	0	0	15
Jelani Hamilton	G	32	5-11	1-5	2-2	3	3	2	0	13
Toneari Lane	G	39	5-16	1-10	1-2	8	3	0	0	12
Malik Ferguson	G	20	1-8	0-3	0-0	3	1	2	0	2
Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Malachi Brown	G	20	0-3	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Jason Jackson	Guard	9	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Zarique Nutter	F	8	0-2	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joseph Pinion	G	24	5-10	4-9	0-0	3	1	1	2	14
Taryn Todd	Guard	26	4-13	2-7	2-2	6	5	0	1	12
Terrance Ford Jr.	G	30	3-7	2-4	0-0	2	8	1	0	8
Izaiyah Nelson	F	15	4-8	0-0	0-0	12	0	2	0	8
Kobe Julien	Forward	14	2-5	0-1	3-4	4	0	0	2	7
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	14	2-7	1-4	2-2	6	2	0	2	7
Justin Johnson	G	5	3-4	0-0	1-1	2	0	1	0	7
Rashaud Marshall	F	18	3-4	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	0	6
Avery Felts	Guard	16	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Josh Hill	F	7	2-6	2-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Derrian Ford	G	13	0-6	0-5	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Kameron Johnson	Forward	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Cody Head	G	6	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Zane Butler	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Jacob St. Clair	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

81.8Offensive Efficiency117.9

117.9Defensive Efficiency81.8

-36.1Net Efficiency36.1

33.3%Effective FG%48.1%

37.4%True Shooting %51.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate6.9%

30.4%Free Throw Rate14.1%

33.3%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.91Assist / Turnover4.40

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.