Bradley

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%Bradley

60.3%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -152

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBradley 79

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreMurray State 82

Team Comparison

BradleyMetricMurray State

54.4MMH Power Index53.6

110.5Offensive Efficiency115.0

105.3Defensive Efficiency111.0

5.2Net Efficiency4.0

1.6Strength of Schedule3.5

0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

69.9Tempo72.3

51.2%Effective FG%54.0%

13.9%Turnover Rate16.3%

27.7%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

37.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

3.6Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bradley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBradley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–53.6), defensive efficiency (105.3–111.0), net efficiency (5.2–4.0), recent form (0.9–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–110.5), strength of schedule (3.5–1.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–51.2).

Final

Bradley

74—61

Murray State

Bradley by 13 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BradleyTEAM STATMurray State

25-47FG21-52

53.0%FG%40.0%

7-183PT7-23

39.0%3PT%30.0%

17-19FT12-18

89.0%FT%67.0%

30Rebounds25

3Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists9

12Turnovers11

6Steals8

3Blocks1

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Bradley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duke Deen	Guard	34	5-11	3-9	5-7	1	5	2	0	18
Darius Hannah	Forward	27	6-9	0-1	4-4	7	0	1	1	16
Corey Thomas	F	21	5-6	2-3	4-4	6	2	0	0	16
Christian Davis	Guard	32	2-5	2-3	0-0	3	0	1	2	6
Connor Dillon	Guard	18	1-1	0-0	4-4	2	1	2	0	6
Zek Montgomery	Guard	34	2-7	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Ahmet Jonovic	C	16	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Jaquan Johnson	G	14	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Almar Atlason	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Ferguson	Guard	35	4-9	3-5	1-3	2	5	1	0	12
JaCobi Wood	Guard	36	4-9	3-6	0-0	4	3	2	0	11
Kylen Milton	Guard	30	4-9	1-5	2-4	3	0	0	0	11
Nick Ellington	F	29	3-6	0-0	4-4	6	0	2	1	10
Alden Applewhite	F	19	3-5	0-1	4-6	1	0	1	0	10
Terence Harcum	Guard	28	2-8	0-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	4
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	11	1-3	0-0	1-1	4	0	2	0	3
Justin Morgan	Guard	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

113.3Offensive Efficiency93.4

93.4Defensive Efficiency113.3

19.9Net Efficiency-19.9

60.6%Effective FG%47.1%

66.0%True Shooting %50.4%

18.5%Turnover Rate16.8%

40.4%Free Throw Rate34.6%

38.3%3-Point Rate44.2%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Bradley won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.