App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%App State

57.4%James Madison

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJames Madison -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL143.5

MODEL MONEYLINEJames Madison -135

James Madison

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 71

Projected Total143.5

Projected ScoreJames Madison 73

Team Comparison

App StateMetricJames Madison

54.2MMH Power Index52.3

110.9Offensive Efficiency110.5

101.7Defensive Efficiency109.4

9.2Net Efficiency1.1

-4.2Strength of Schedule1.2

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency7.9

64.9Tempo67.5

51.1%Effective FG%53.3%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.3%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

39.8%Free Throw Rate36.6%

6.0Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.3), offensive efficiency (110.9–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.7–109.4), net efficiency (9.2–1.1).

James Madison COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.2–-4.2), recent form (7.9–7.0), shooting efficiency (53.3–51.1).

Final

App State

58—50

James Madison

App State by 8 • 61.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATJames Madison

20-48FG18-51

42.0%FG%35.0%

10-203PT9-29

50.0%3PT%31.0%

8-13FT5-6

62.0%FT%83.0%

31Rebounds34

4Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists11

11Turnovers13

5Steals7

1Blocks4

10Fouls12

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Tate	Guard	37	7-12	2-3	4-4	8	8	0	0	20
Dior Conners	G	34	6-9	6-8	0-0	2	1	1	0	18
CJ Huntley	Forward	37	3-11	1-4	0-1	8	0	1	0	7
Jalil Beaubrun	Forward	21	3-7	1-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	7
Luke Wilson	C	12	0-0	0-0	4-6	1	0	0	1	4
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	2
Alonzo Dodd	G	28	0-7	0-3	0-0	4	2	2	0	0
Jackson Threadgill	Guard	22	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Jamil Muttilib	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

James Madison

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Lindsay	G	28	4-8	3-6	2-2	4	1	0	0	13
Mark Freeman	Guard	35	4-14	2-5	0-0	4	4	0	0	10
Eddie Ricks III	F	36	3-7	2-6	1-2	7	2	2	2	9
AJ Smith	F	21	3-3	1-1	0-0	10	1	1	2	7
Elijah Hutchins-Everett	Center	24	1-6	0-4	2-2	5	0	1	0	4
Ebenezer Dowuona	Forward	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Xavier Brown	G	34	1-10	1-7	0-0	3	3	3	0	3
Noah Williams	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.1Possessions61.1

94.9Offensive Efficiency81.8

81.8Defensive Efficiency94.9

13.1Net Efficiency-13.1

52.1%Effective FG%44.1%

53.5%True Shooting %46.4%

18.0%Turnover Rate21.4%

27.1%Free Throw Rate11.8%

41.7%3-Point Rate56.9%

1.27Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

App State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 61.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.