Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Troy

55.2%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -123

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 74

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 76

Team Comparison

TroyMetricSouth Alabama

54.1MMH Power Index51.4

112.6Offensive Efficiency110.3

103.9Defensive Efficiency103.9

8.7Net Efficiency6.4

-2.2Strength of Schedule-3.7

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

70.4Tempo67.4

52.1%Effective FG%53.2%

17.1%Turnover Rate12.8%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

36.8%Free Throw Rate39.8%

6.1Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–51.4), offensive efficiency (112.6–110.3), net efficiency (8.7–6.4), strength of schedule (-2.2–-3.7).

South Alabama COUNTERS WITHrecent form (3.4–2.0), shooting efficiency (53.2–52.1), ball security (12.8–17.1).

Final

Troy

63—64

South Alabama

South Alabama by 1 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATSouth Alabama

20-57FG23-57

35.0%FG%40.0%

9-313PT11-27

29.0%3PT%41.0%

14-22FT7-9

64.0%FT%78.0%

42Rebounds35

18Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists12

14Turnovers15

13Steals9

1Blocks5

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tayton Conerway	G	31	8-15	4-7	3-4	5	4	4	0	23
Thomas Dowd	F	27	2-4	1-3	3-6	6	0	3	0	8
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	20	3-10	2-9	0-0	4	1	1	0	8
Jackson Fields	F	23	1-5	0-0	4-4	6	1	0	0	6
Myles Rigsby	G	22	2-2	0-0	1-4	4	1	3	0	5
Kerrington Kiel	F	18	2-6	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	5
Cooper Campbell	G	18	1-6	1-4	2-2	0	1	0	0	5
Jerrell Bellamy	C	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	2
Randarius Jones	C	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Victor Valdes	F	15	0-4	0-3	0-0	6	0	0	0	0
Theo Seng	F	9	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	34	6-14	0-1	2-2	8	3	0	0	14
Judah Brown	Forward	20	4-8	3-7	1-1	2	0	1	0	12
Randy Brady	F	28	4-7	3-4	0-0	6	2	3	1	11
JJ Wheat	G	30	3-7	1-2	3-5	2	2	2	0	10
John Broom	G	26	3-5	3-5	0-0	5	1	1	3	9
Myles Corey	G	25	1-7	0-3	1-1	3	2	0	0	3
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	9	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Jayden Cooper	G	18	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Dylan Fasoyiro	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Cantia Rahming	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

97.1Offensive Efficiency98.6

98.6Defensive Efficiency97.1

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

43.0%Effective FG%50.0%

46.7%True Shooting %52.2%

22.1%Turnover Rate22.6%

38.6%Free Throw Rate15.8%

54.4%3-Point Rate47.4%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.