UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.1%UC Davis

69.9%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -232

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 74

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 80

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricUC Santa Barbara

48.4MMH Power Index51.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency113.2

103.7Defensive Efficiency106.1

3.5Net Efficiency7.1

-1.9Strength of Schedule-2.0

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

72.4Tempo68.5

52.3%Effective FG%54.8%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.7%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

41.5%Free Throw Rate37.9%

2.5Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.2), net efficiency (7.1–3.5), shooting efficiency (54.8–52.3).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–106.1), strength of schedule (-1.9–-2.0), recent form (-0.1–-1.7).

Final

UC Davis

64—60

UC Santa Barbara

UC Davis by 4 • 59.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

23-48FG19-51

48.0%FG%37.0%

2-93PT8-21

22.0%3PT%38.0%

16-18FT14-19

89.0%FT%74.0%

29Rebounds33

7Offensive Rebounds13

8Assists16

9Turnovers13

5Steals4

3Blocks1

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	35	12-23	2-5	9-9	2	2	2	0	35
Niko Rocak	F	30	5-6	0-0	0-0	10	0	1	3	10
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	34	2-6	0-0	4-4	4	4	1	0	8
Pablo Tamba	F	17	1-2	0-0	3-4	2	0	1	0	5
Nils Cooper	G	26	2-4	0-1	0-1	8	0	0	0	4
Connor Sevilla	G	35	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	13	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Chappell	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sione Lose	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jac Mani	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kenny Pohto	Forward	31	5-11	0-0	7-10	6	3	0	0	17
Colin Smith	F	29	4-10	4-7	2-3	6	2	1	0	14
Stephan Swenson	Guard	36	3-11	1-4	3-4	6	7	1	1	10
Cole Anderson	Guard	32	3-4	2-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	8
Deuce Turner	G	13	2-6	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jason Fontenet II	G	35	1-6	0-1	2-2	7	2	1	0	4
Max Murrell	Forward	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Ben Shtolzberg	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.3Possessions59.3

107.9Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency107.9

6.7Net Efficiency-6.7

50.0%Effective FG%45.1%

56.6%True Shooting %50.0%

15.4%Turnover Rate21.7%

37.5%Free Throw Rate37.3%

18.8%3-Point Rate41.2%

0.89Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 59.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.