Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.1%Alabama State

72.9%Alabama A&M

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama A&M -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL148.8

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama A&M -269

Alabama A&M

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 71

Projected Total148.8

Projected ScoreAlabama A&M 78

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricAlabama A&M

38MMH Power Index42.3

101.7Offensive Efficiency105.9

107.4Defensive Efficiency106.6

-5.7Net Efficiency-0.7

-6.2Strength of Schedule-6.8

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

71.9Tempo68.0

48.2%Effective FG%49.7%

18.2%Turnover Rate16.8%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

35.8%Free Throw Rate45.7%

-4.1Average Margin-0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama A&M HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama A&M holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.3–38.0), offensive efficiency (105.9–101.7), defensive efficiency (106.6–107.4), net efficiency (-0.7–-5.7).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-6.2–-6.8), offensive rebounding (32.6–28.0).

Final

Alabama State

69—65

Alabama A&M

Alabama State by 4 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATAlabama A&M

23-67FG21-62

34.0%FG%34.0%

6-253PT9-33

24.0%3PT%27.0%

17-25FT14-20

68.0%FT%70.0%

47Rebounds41

20Offensive Rebounds17

10Assists12

10Turnovers15

8Steals4

1Blocks8

15Fouls21

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amarr Knox	G	27	6-13	2-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	14
Micah Simpson	G	19	4-8	3-6	3-4	1	0	0	0	14
TJ Madlock	Guard	35	5-9	0-1	3-4	10	3	1	0	13
CJ Hines	G	26	2-8	1-3	4-8	4	1	2	0	9
Jalen Keago	G	14	1-5	0-2	6-6	5	0	0	0	8
Ubong Okon	C	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	19	1-7	0-2	1-2	3	5	3	0	3
Micah Octave	G	28	1-7	0-5	0-1	7	1	1	1	2
JaSteven Walker	F	12	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
D'Ante Bass	Forward	6	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Alabama A&M

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AC Bryant	G	29	5-13	3-9	4-6	10	2	1	0	17
Jaylen Colon	Guard	10	3-5	3-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Bilal Abdur-Rahman	G	29	2-10	1-5	3-4	4	2	0	1	8
Lorenzo Downey	Guard	27	2-7	0-4	3-4	4	2	1	0	7
Dylan Mclean	Guard	18	2-5	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Darius Ford	Guard	11	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Chad Moodie	F	35	1-6	0-0	2-4	6	4	1	5	4
Saliou Seye	F	16	1-4	0-2	2-2	4	2	0	1	4
Clance Crosby	F	7	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Angok Anyang	F	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
London Riley	Guard	14	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Aaron Smith	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency93.9

93.9Defensive Efficiency99.7

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

38.8%Effective FG%41.1%

43.7%True Shooting %45.5%

14.5%Turnover Rate21.6%

37.3%Free Throw Rate32.3%

37.3%3-Point Rate53.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Alabama State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.