California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%California

71.3%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -248

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 76

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreNC State 83

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricNC State

56.5MMH Power Index60.1

111.8Offensive Efficiency118.4

104.8Defensive Efficiency108.6

7.0Net Efficiency9.8

2.8Strength of Schedule6.4

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

69.9Tempo70.2

52.6%Effective FG%55.1%

14.9%Turnover Rate13.1%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.8%Free Throw Rate35.7%

4.9Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–56.5), offensive efficiency (118.4–111.8), net efficiency (9.8–7.0), strength of schedule (6.4–2.8).

California COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–108.6), recent form (1.8–-11.9), free throw rate (36.8–35.7).

Final

California

65—62

NC State

California by 3 • 61.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATNC State

24-53FG26-60

45.0%FG%43.0%

6-163PT1-10

38.0%3PT%10.0%

11-17FT9-14

65.0%FT%64.0%

38Rebounds31

12Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists5

11Turnovers7

5Steals6

6Blocks6

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	27	5-11	2-6	2-2	3	2	1	0	14
DeJuan Campbell	G	31	4-5	1-1	4-4	2	0	0	0	13
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	19	4-8	3-6	0-1	0	0	0	0	11
Andrej Stojakovic	G	35	5-16	0-2	0-2	5	1	2	2	10
Mady Sissoko	Center	29	3-4	0-0	4-6	5	0	1	3	10
Lee Dort	F	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	4
Rytis Petraitis	F	29	1-1	0-0	0-0	9	3	1	0	2
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	10	0-3	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Christian Tucker	Guard	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Spencer Mahoney	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Taylor	Guard	34	7-13	1-2	3-3	5	0	2	0	18
Marcus Hill	G	29	6-11	0-0	1-3	5	2	1	0	13
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	23	4-8	0-1	3-4	4	0	0	1	11
Breon Pass	Guard	13	3-6	0-2	1-1	0	0	0	0	7
Michael O'Connell	Guard	31	2-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Trey Parker	G	10	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	17	1-4	0-0	1-3	5	2	1	2	3
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	13	1-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	1	2
Dontrez Styles	Guard	27	0-4	0-3	0-0	4	0	1	1	0
Bryce Heard	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.4Possessions61.4

105.9Offensive Efficiency101.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency105.9

4.9Net Efficiency-4.9

50.9%Effective FG%44.2%

53.2%True Shooting %46.5%

18.3%Turnover Rate11.2%

32.1%Free Throw Rate23.3%

30.2%3-Point Rate16.7%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

California won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 61.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.