Drake

14-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.9%Drake

57.1%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -133

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrake 74

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreIndiana State 77

Team Comparison

DrakeMetricIndiana State

46.4MMH Power Index44.4

109.5Offensive Efficiency104.7

109.1Defensive Efficiency106.0

0.4Net Efficiency-1.3

0.3Strength of Schedule0.1

-11.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

68.6Tempo70.3

52.2%Effective FG%53.6%

14.9%Turnover Rate19.5%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

34.4%Free Throw Rate28.8%

0.2Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Drake HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDrake holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.4–44.4), offensive efficiency (109.5–104.7), net efficiency (0.4–-1.3), strength of schedule (0.3–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–109.1), recent form (-5.2–-11.3), shooting efficiency (53.6–52.2).

Final

Drake

71—53

Indiana State

Drake by 18 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrakeTEAM STATIndiana State

27-51FG18-50

53.0%FG%36.0%

7-183PT4-23

39.0%3PT%17.0%

10-15FT13-16

67.0%FT%81.0%

31Rebounds30

11Offensive Rebounds13

16Assists9

17Turnovers19

11Steals7

4Blocks1

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mitch Mascari	Guard	37	5-7	5-7	4-5	2	0	2	0	19
Bennett Stirtz	G	36	7-17	1-6	1-3	3	9	2	1	16
Tavion Banks	G	18	5-6	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	10
Daniel Abreu	Forward	29	1-4	1-3	3-4	2	1	2	1	6
Isaia Howard	G	18	3-6	0-1	0-0	3	1	2	0	6
Cam Manyawu	F	15	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	0	6
Kael Combs	G	31	2-4	0-1	0-1	5	4	1	1	4
Isaiah Jackson	Guard	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Nate Ferguson	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Samage Teel	Guard	27	4-12	1-5	4-5	3	3	0	0	13
Markus Harding	C	21	4-6	2-4	2-2	6	1	1	0	12
Aaron Gray	Forward	20	2-6	0-1	5-6	3	0	0	1	9
Josiah LeGree	G	23	4-6	0-2	0-1	3	4	4	0	8
K'mani Doughty	Guard	27	1-7	0-3	2-2	4	0	0	0	4
Jaden Daughtry	F	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Bruno Alocen	G	30	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Camp Wagner	G	20	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jayan Walker	G	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

111.1Offensive Efficiency82.9

82.9Defensive Efficiency111.1

28.2Net Efficiency-28.2

59.8%Effective FG%40.0%

61.1%True Shooting %46.0%

26.5%Turnover Rate29.9%

29.4%Free Throw Rate32.0%

35.3%3-Point Rate46.0%

0.94Assist / Turnover0.47

Game Summary

Drake won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.