Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.8%Arkansas

30.2%Missouri

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL168.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -231

Missouri

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 86

Projected Total168.0

Projected ScoreMissouri 82

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricMissouri

69.3MMH Power Index57.2

122.2Offensive Efficiency115.1

109.8Defensive Efficiency109.7

12.4Net Efficiency5.4

8.6Strength of Schedule5.0

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

73.8Tempo68.8

56.4%Effective FG%55.2%

12.2%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

36.5%Free Throw Rate43.1%

9.2Average Margin3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–57.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.1), net efficiency (12.4–5.4), strength of schedule (8.6–5.0).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.7–109.8), offensive rebounding (34.8–31.8), free throw rate (43.1–36.5).

Final

Arkansas

65—83

Missouri

Missouri by 18 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATMissouri

28-63FG29-63

44.0%FG%46.0%

5-233PT11-23

22.0%3PT%48.0%

4-8FT14-19

50.0%FT%74.0%

38Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists20

13Turnovers9

5Steals10

8Blocks—

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	30	6-9	2-5	0-2	10	1	2	3	14
Adou Thiero	Forward	29	5-11	0-1	2-2	6	2	1	3	12
Karter Knox	G	20	3-7	1-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	7
Johnell Davis	Guard	19	2-6	1-3	2-2	2	1	0	0	7
Trevon Brazile	F	18	3-4	1-1	0-2	4	1	1	0	7
D.J. Wagner	G	28	3-8	0-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Boogie Fland	G	33	2-13	0-4	0-0	4	6	0	1	4
Billy Richmond III	G	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Mark Mitchell	G	36	6-15	1-2	4-7	5	4	2	17
Caleb Grill	Guard	29	7-10	3-5	0-0	5	3	4	17
Tamar Bates	Guard	22	6-12	3-6	0-0	4	0	1	15
Tony Perkins	Guard	20	3-6	1-3	4-6	1	3	1	11
Trent Pierce	G	19	4-4	2-2	0-0	5	4	0	10
Anthony Robinson II	G	31	1-7	1-3	4-4	6	4	1	7
Jacob Crews	G	12	2-6	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	4
Marcus Allen	G	17	0-2	0-0	2-2	5	1	1	2
Peyton Marshall	C	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Josh Gray	Center	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0
Marques Warrick	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Annor Boateng	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
T.O. Barrett	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

93.0Offensive Efficiency118.7

118.7Defensive Efficiency93.0

-25.8Net Efficiency25.8

48.4%Effective FG%54.8%

48.7%True Shooting %57.6%

18.6%Turnover Rate12.9%

12.7%Free Throw Rate30.2%

36.5%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

Missouri won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.