East Tennessee State

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.5%East Tennessee State

53.5%Samford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSamford -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINESamford -115

Samford

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 76

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreSamford 77

Team Comparison

East Tennessee StateMetricSamford

57.4MMH Power Index54.1

115.1Offensive Efficiency113.5

102.8Defensive Efficiency108.3

12.3Net Efficiency5.2

-1.6Strength of Schedule-2.9

3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency14.0

67.4Tempo69.5

55.4%Effective FG%54.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.3%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

35.0%Free Throw Rate42.5%

8.3Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–54.1), offensive efficiency (115.1–113.5), defensive efficiency (102.8–108.3), net efficiency (12.3–5.2).

Samford COUNTERS WITHrecent form (14.0–3.7), ball security (13.3–15.1), free throw rate (42.5–35.0).

Final

East Tennessee State

65—60

Samford

East Tennessee State by 5 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Tennessee StateTEAM STATSamford

24-68FG23-61

35.0%FG%38.0%

8-293PT7-20

28.0%3PT%35.0%

9-11FT7-9

82.0%FT%78.0%

39Rebounds41

15Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists15

12Turnovers16

9Steals2

4Blocks5

12Fouls13

Player Box Score

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quimari Peterson	G	40	6-16	3-7	4-4	1	5	0	0	19
Jaden Seymour	Forward	35	6-18	1-3	3-3	11	1	0	1	16
Maki Johnson	G	28	4-12	3-11	0-0	3	0	3	0	11
Karon Boyd	F	37	4-9	0-2	0-1	11	2	3	3	8
Gabe Sisk	G	15	2-7	0-3	1-1	1	0	1	0	5
John Buggs III	Guard	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Roosevelt Wheeler	Center	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Allen Strothers	G	31	0-3	0-2	1-2	3	4	2	0	1
DJ Hughes	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rylan Jones	Guard	29	4-7	4-6	0-0	1	4	0	0	12
Collin Holloway	Forward	31	2-8	0-3	6-8	10	2	1	1	10
Josh Holloway	G	27	4-9	1-1	0-0	5	4	0	0	9
Trey Fort	G	27	3-11	1-4	1-1	3	1	0	1	8
Jaden Brownell	F	16	3-10	0-4	0-0	3	2	0	1	6
Lukas Walls	G	18	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Hamed Olayinka	F	19	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	2	4
Isaiah West	G	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Riley Allenspach	F	7	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Julian Brown	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Zion Wilburn	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

94.5Offensive Efficiency87.2

87.2Defensive Efficiency94.5

7.3Net Efficiency-7.3

41.2%Effective FG%43.4%

44.4%True Shooting %46.0%

17.1%Turnover Rate23.8%

16.2%Free Throw Rate14.8%

42.6%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

East Tennessee State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.