California Baptist

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

77.9%California Baptist

22.1%Abilene Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL141.4

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -352

Abilene Christian

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 74

Projected Total141.4

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 67

Team Comparison

California BaptistMetricAbilene Christian

58.3MMH Power Index42.4

106.5Offensive Efficiency101.1

99.0Defensive Efficiency104.1

7.5Net Efficiency-3.0

1.8Strength of Schedule-1.4

11.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.3

68.2Tempo69.6

48.8%Effective FG%48.9%

17.9%Turnover Rate20.6%

37.0%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

37.0%Free Throw Rate42.0%

5.1Average Margin-2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–42.4), offensive efficiency (106.5–101.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.1), net efficiency (7.5–-3.0).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (48.9–48.8), free throw rate (42.0–37.0).

Final

California Baptist

60—54

Abilene Christian

California Baptist by 6 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

California BaptistTEAM STATAbilene Christian

20-49FG19-55

41.0%FG%35.0%

4-173PT4-14

24.0%3PT%29.0%

16-21FT12-21

76.0%FT%57.0%

45Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds8

5Assists7

17Turnovers10

4Steals11

2Blocks2

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	35	5-16	1-6	6-9	2	0	0	0	17
Adam Moussa	Guard	33	5-9	1-3	0-0	7	4	1	0	11
Javonte Johnson	Guard	21	1-3	1-3	6-6	4	1	2	0	9
AJ Braun	Forward	25	2-3	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
Sam Silverstein	G	19	3-6	0-1	0-0	8	0	1	2	6
Martel Williams	G	19	2-6	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Kendal Coleman	Forward	21	1-1	0-0	2-4	10	0	0	0	4
Bradey Henige	F	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quion Williams	G	32	5-12	2-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	12
Leonardo Bettiol	F	31	4-9	0-0	4-7	4	1	1	0	12
Dontrez Williams	G	23	2-6	1-2	5-7	6	1	2	0	10
Rich Smith	G	25	3-7	0-0	1-4	3	3	1	0	7
Bradyn Hubbard	F	14	3-4	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Cade Hornecker	F	10	1-4	0-2	2-3	1	1	0	2	4
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	19	1-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	3	0	2
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	25	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
Christian Alston	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jack Sawyer	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Yaniel Rivera	G	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ma'Shy Hill	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

90.2Offensive Efficiency81.2

81.2Defensive Efficiency90.2

9.0Net Efficiency-9.0

44.9%Effective FG%38.2%

50.9%True Shooting %41.6%

25.8%Turnover Rate14.9%

42.9%Free Throw Rate38.2%

34.7%3-Point Rate25.5%

0.29Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.