Western Kentucky

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.9%Western Kentucky

54.1%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -118

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 76

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 78

Team Comparison

Western KentuckyMetricMiddle Tennessee

55.6MMH Power Index52.5

110.6Offensive Efficiency109.6

106.2Defensive Efficiency105.7

4.4Net Efficiency3.9

1.7Strength of Schedule0.4

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

71.7Tempo68.8

48.6%Effective FG%52.2%

14.5%Turnover Rate16.7%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

42.9%Free Throw Rate33.2%

3.2Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–52.5), offensive efficiency (110.6–109.6), net efficiency (4.4–3.9), strength of schedule (1.7–0.4).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.7–106.2), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.6).

Final

Western Kentucky

57—71

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee by 14 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western KentuckyTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

21-63FG26-55

33.0%FG%47.0%

5-253PT7-21

20.0%3PT%33.0%

10-12FT12-20

83.0%FT%60.0%

32Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists7

11Turnovers13

8Steals5

2Blocks8

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Don McHenry	G	31	5-16	1-8	5-5	4	0	1	0	16
Julius Thedford	G	8	4-7	1-2	1-1	1	0	0	0	10
Khristian Lander	Guard	26	3-7	1-5	2-2	5	2	1	0	9
Enoch Kalambay	G	28	3-10	1-3	0-0	6	3	0	1	7
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	24	2-11	1-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Blaise Keita	F	12	1-2	0-0	2-4	7	0	1	0	4
Jalen Jackson	Guard	27	1-5	0-3	0-0	0	2	2	0	2
Leeroy Odiahi	F	22	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	2
Braxton Bayless	G	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	2	0	2
Jack Edelen	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jestin Porter	G	35	4-10	2-6	5-5	3	1	3	0	15
Camryn Weston	Guard	33	5-12	2-6	2-5	3	4	0	0	14
Jlynn Counter	G	26	6-11	0-2	1-2	5	0	1	0	13
Essam Mostafa	Forward	33	5-9	0-0	1-1	18	2	1	3	11
Torey Alston	F	19	2-3	1-1	1-2	3	0	0	2	6
Tre Green	G	17	2-3	2-3	0-1	1	0	0	0	6
Justin Bufford	Guard	30	1-6	0-3	2-4	4	0	0	1	4
Chris Loofe	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

81.9Offensive Efficiency102.0

102.0Defensive Efficiency81.9

-20.1Net Efficiency20.1

37.3%Effective FG%53.6%

41.5%True Shooting %55.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate19.0%

19.0%Free Throw Rate36.4%

39.7%3-Point Rate38.2%

0.82Assist / Turnover0.54

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.