UNLV

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%UNLV

79.0%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -376

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNLV 73

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 83

Team Comparison

UNLVMetricSan Diego State

52.8MMH Power Index60.1

111.0Offensive Efficiency110.3

109.6Defensive Efficiency99.3

1.4Net Efficiency11.0

2.7Strength of Schedule3.8

1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

71.4Tempo70.8

53.7%Effective FG%53.2%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

41.6%Free Throw Rate39.6%

1.0Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–52.8), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.6), net efficiency (11.0–1.4), strength of schedule (3.8–2.7).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.0–110.3), recent form (1.1–0.4), shooting efficiency (53.7–53.2).

Final

UNLV

76—68

San Diego State

UNLV by 8 • 72.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNLVTEAM STATSan Diego State

24-55FG24-60

44.0%FG%40.0%

6-203PT9-28

30.0%3PT%32.0%

22-27FT11-16

81.0%FT%69.0%

37Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists11

13Turnovers14

6Steals8

3Blocks4

20Fouls24

Player Box Score

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	39	4-13	1-5	10-10	1	5	1	0	19
Brooklyn Hicks	G	25	5-7	1-2	2-4	3	1	1	0	13
Jaden Henley	G	30	2-7	2-3	6-6	8	0	0	0	12
Julian Rishwain	Guard	29	3-6	2-5	0-0	4	0	2	1	8
Jailen Bedford	G	24	4-10	0-5	0-0	6	0	1	0	8
Jeremiah Cherry	F	23	4-9	0-0	0-1	3	2	0	2	8
Jalen Hill	Forward	13	1-2	0-0	2-3	2	2	1	0	4
Pape N'Diaye	F	12	1-1	0-0	2-3	7	0	0	0	4
Jacob Bannarbie	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Byrd	G	34	7-20	4-12	3-3	3	1	0	1	21
Nick Boyd	G	32	5-10	2-5	4-6	5	1	0	0	16
BJ Davis	G	31	4-8	2-4	0-1	1	1	4	0	10
Taj DeGourville	G	21	3-8	1-3	2-3	7	2	1	2	9
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	33	3-5	0-1	2-3	7	4	1	1	8
Magoon Gwath	F	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Miles Heide	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	17	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Pharaoh Compton	F	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.7Possessions72.7

104.5Offensive Efficiency93.5

93.5Defensive Efficiency104.5

11.0Net Efficiency-11.0

49.1%Effective FG%47.5%

56.0%True Shooting %50.3%

18.1%Turnover Rate19.0%

49.1%Free Throw Rate26.7%

36.4%3-Point Rate46.7%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

UNLV won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 72.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.