Montana

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Montana

63.8%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -176

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana 75

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreIdaho State 78

Team Comparison

MontanaMetricIdaho State

45.4MMH Power Index45.9

108.6Offensive Efficiency111.0

104.8Defensive Efficiency113.4

3.8Net Efficiency-2.4

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.2

-6.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

71.2Tempo67.1

56.3%Effective FG%52.2%

19.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

37.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

2.7Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–45.4), offensive efficiency (111.0–108.6), strength of schedule (0.2–-2.4), ball security (16.5–19.2).

Montana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–113.4), net efficiency (3.8–-2.4), recent form (-6.5–-9.6).

Final

Montana

61—86

Idaho State

Idaho State by 25 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MontanaTEAM STATIdaho State

22-56FG33-59

39.0%FG%56.0%

8-193PT7-16

42.0%3PT%44.0%

9-18FT13-16

50.0%FT%81.0%

26Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists17

12Turnovers10

5Steals9

2Blocks7

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Messina-Moore	G	32	4-13	2-5	2-2	1	1	0	0	12
Jensen Bradtke	Forward	23	3-6	2-4	2-2	5	1	0	0	10
Money Williams	G	33	3-12	2-6	0-0	1	5	0	0	8
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	23	3-4	0-0	2-3	1	1	2	0	8
Joe Pridgen	Guard	20	3-8	0-0	0-0	9	1	1	1	6
Kai Johnson	Guard	22	2-3	0-0	1-3	2	1	1	1	5
Austin Patterson	Guard	20	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	5
Brandon Whitney	Guard	17	2-6	1-2	0-3	3	2	1	0	5
Jalen Foy	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	2-3	0	0	0	0	2
Amari Jedkins	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Adam Shoff	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zack Davidson	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jeremiah Dargan	Guard	1	0-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Griffin	F	35	10-17	3-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	23
Jake O'Neil	Guard	33	9-12	1-2	0-0	12	3	2	1	19
Connor Hollenbeck	F	35	6-9	2-3	1-2	7	4	1	0	15
Dylan Darling	G	34	2-7	1-3	8-9	5	8	4	2	13
Jackson Greene	Forward	18	4-6	0-0	0-1	2	0	2	1	8
Evan Otten	F	20	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	3	4
AJ Burgin	Guard	12	0-2	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	2
Quentin Meza	G	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Blake Daberkow	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaedyn Brown	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Justin Graham	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Covy Kelly	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joey Madimba	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

93.0Offensive Efficiency131.1

131.1Defensive Efficiency93.0

-38.1Net Efficiency38.1

46.4%Effective FG%61.9%

47.3%True Shooting %64.6%

18.0%Turnover Rate15.5%

32.1%Free Throw Rate27.1%

33.9%3-Point Rate27.1%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.