Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.0%Tarleton State

90.0%Grand Canyon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrand Canyon -14.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.2

MODEL MONEYLINEGrand Canyon -900

Grand Canyon

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 67

Projected Total147.2

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 81

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricGrand Canyon

44.6MMH Power Index59.8

103.2Offensive Efficiency109.2

101.6Defensive Efficiency99.1

1.6Net Efficiency10.1

-2.3Strength of Schedule2.0

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.7

72.2Tempo69.3

49.0%Effective FG%52.1%

19.9%Turnover Rate17.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.2%

42.8%Free Throw Rate41.0%

1.1Average Margin7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grand Canyon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrand Canyon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–44.6), offensive efficiency (109.2–103.2), defensive efficiency (99.1–101.6), net efficiency (10.1–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.8–31.2), free throw rate (42.8–41.0).

Final

Tarleton State

64—88

Grand Canyon

Grand Canyon by 24 • 69.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATGrand Canyon

22-54FG23-47

41.0%FG%49.0%

3-113PT9-23

27.0%3PT%39.0%

17-22FT33-39

77.0%FT%85.0%

23Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists22

12Turnovers12

8Steals6

—Blocks4

28Fouls19

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	32	5-11	1-2	2-2	5	1	4	13
Izzy Miles	G	36	4-7	0-0	4-6	3	2	1	12
Bubu Benjamin	G	40	4-12	1-4	2-3	4	3	0	11
Keitenn Bristow	F	29	3-7	0-3	4-4	3	0	2	10
Chris Mpaka	F	20	4-7	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	10
Freddy Hicks	G	20	2-8	1-2	3-5	4	2	0	8
Jordan Mizell	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0
Karim Elgizawy	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0
Nick Krass	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	26	5-8	1-3	6-8	5	3	0	1	17
JaKobe Coles	Forward	26	3-8	2-2	8-8	3	4	1	0	16
Collin Moore	Guard	19	4-6	1-3	3-3	6	1	2	1	12
Makaih Williams	G	31	3-5	3-4	2-2	4	7	2	0	11
Ray Harrison	Guard	29	2-4	2-4	4-4	3	4	0	0	10
Duke Brennan	F	18	4-4	0-0	2-4	5	0	1	0	10
Caleb Shaw	G	15	1-3	0-2	5-6	1	1	0	0	7
Lok Wur	Forward	21	1-7	0-4	2-2	2	1	0	1	4
Traivar Jackson	F	11	0-2	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	1	1
Austin Maurer	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jason Amador	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.0Possessions69.0

92.8Offensive Efficiency127.5

127.5Defensive Efficiency92.8

-34.8Net Efficiency34.8

43.5%Effective FG%58.5%

49.7%True Shooting %67.1%

17.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

40.7%Free Throw Rate83.0%

20.4%3-Point Rate48.9%

0.83Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Grand Canyon won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 69.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.