Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Montana State

53.3%Weber State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -114

Weber State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 78

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreWeber State 79

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricWeber State

53.6MMH Power Index50.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency113.6

104.9Defensive Efficiency108.2

9.5Net Efficiency5.4

-3.7Strength of Schedule-3.4

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

68.1Tempo71.5

55.1%Effective FG%52.6%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.5%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate38.3%

6.5Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–113.6), defensive efficiency (104.9–108.2), net efficiency (9.5–5.4).

Weber State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (32.6–28.1), free throw rate (38.3–30.7).

Final

Montana State

80—71

Weber State

Montana State by 9 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATWeber State

26-54FG22-49

48.0%FG%45.0%

10-223PT7-22

45.0%3PT%32.0%

18-24FT20-24

75.0%FT%83.0%

31Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists15

10Turnovers13

6Steals1

—Blocks2

21Fouls21

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jed Miller	G	24	3-5	2-4	12-12	6	2	2	20
Brandon Walker	F	27	7-12	1-2	3-7	7	3	1	18
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	29	6-11	3-6	0-0	6	0	1	15
Patrick McMahon	G	22	5-9	1-1	1-1	1	1	0	12
Sam Lecholat	Forward	17	3-3	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	7
Bryce Zephir	G	27	1-4	1-2	1-2	0	3	0	4
Brian Goracke	Forward	12	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	3
Tyler Patterson	Guard	9	0-2	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	1
Jabe Mullins	Guard	23	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	0
BJ Kolly	F	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miguel Tomley	Guard	24	3-8	2-6	5-6	4	2	0	0	13
Trevor Hennig	G	21	3-7	1-3	6-7	2	4	0	0	13
Saadiq Moore	Guard	34	4-9	1-4	1-1	1	3	0	1	10
Viljami Vartiainen	G	28	4-7	2-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	10
Nigel Burris	F	25	4-9	1-2	0-0	9	1	0	0	9
Dyson Koehler	Forward	34	1-6	0-3	5-6	4	2	0	1	7
Alex Tew	Center	16	1-1	0-0	3-4	3	1	0	0	5
Vasilije Vucinic	Center	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Declan Cutler	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

118.7Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency118.7

13.4Net Efficiency-13.4

57.4%Effective FG%52.0%

61.2%True Shooting %58.8%

14.6%Turnover Rate19.6%

44.4%Free Throw Rate49.0%

40.7%3-Point Rate44.9%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Montana State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.