Oregon State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.5%Oregon State

66.5%San Francisco

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Francisco -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINESan Francisco -199

San Francisco

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon State 71

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreSan Francisco 77

Team Comparison

Oregon StateMetricSan Francisco

48.5MMH Power Index50.1

105.8Offensive Efficiency110.4

110.3Defensive Efficiency108.2

-4.5Net Efficiency2.2

4.5Strength of Schedule1.4

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.7

67.2Tempo67.6

50.6%Effective FG%51.9%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.1%

26.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

43.9%Free Throw Rate40.5%

-3.0Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Francisco HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Francisco holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–48.5), offensive efficiency (110.4–105.8), defensive efficiency (108.2–110.3), net efficiency (2.2–-4.5).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.5–1.4), recent form (0.0–-8.7), free throw rate (43.9–40.5).

Final

Oregon State

70—81

San Francisco

San Francisco by 11 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Oregon StateTEAM STATSan Francisco

24-54FG27-45

44.0%FG%60.0%

1-93PT13-22

11.0%3PT%59.0%

21-29FT14-19

72.0%FT%74.0%

28Rebounds26

10Offensive Rebounds4

6Assists20

10Turnovers13

8Steals5

4Blocks7

18Fouls25

Player Box Score

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Rataj	G	36	6-13	0-1	6-9	6	2	2	0	18
Damarco Minor	G	31	6-11	0-2	0-0	6	2	1	0	12
Parsa Fallah	F	20	4-7	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	9
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	31	1-5	1-3	5-6	6	0	1	1	8
Josiah Lake II	G	24	2-6	0-1	4-5	4	1	1	0	8
Nate Kingz	G	28	2-6	0-2	2-2	1	1	1	0	6
Isaiah Sy	F	11	1-2	0-0	3-4	0	0	0	1	5
Thomas Ndong	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Johan Munch	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	1	2
Matthew Marsh	Center	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Gavin Marrs	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Francisco

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Thomas	G	37	8-11	4-6	4-5	2	3	0	0	24
Marcus Williams	Guard	25	8-12	4-5	1-1	1	5	1	0	21
Tyrone Riley IV	G	31	4-5	3-3	4-6	4	1	1	2	15
Carlton Linguard Jr.	Center	32	5-9	1-5	0-1	4	4	0	4	11
Ryan Beasley	G	25	1-3	1-2	4-4	3	6	2	0	7
Veniamin Abosi	G	25	1-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	1	2
Robby Beasley	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Junjie Wang	F	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
James O'Donnell	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jason Rivera-Torres	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Saba Gigiberia	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

107.0Offensive Efficiency123.9

123.9Defensive Efficiency107.0

-16.8Net Efficiency16.8

45.4%Effective FG%74.4%

51.6%True Shooting %75.0%

14.8%Turnover Rate20.6%

53.7%Free Throw Rate42.2%

16.7%3-Point Rate48.9%

0.60Assist / Turnover1.54

Game Summary

San Francisco won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.