Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.7%Northern Illinois

88.3%Western Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Michigan -12.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Michigan -755

Western Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 70

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 83

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricWestern Michigan

29.2MMH Power Index42.8

99.7Offensive Efficiency106.9

111.6Defensive Efficiency113.6

-11.9Net Efficiency-6.7

-2.1Strength of Schedule2.0

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.7

69.7Tempo69.9

48.5%Effective FG%50.3%

21.3%Turnover Rate17.3%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %31.0%

39.6%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-8.3Average Margin-4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.8–29.2), offensive efficiency (106.9–99.7), net efficiency (-6.7–-11.9), strength of schedule (2.0–-2.1).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.6–113.6), offensive rebounding (31.7–31.0), free throw rate (39.6–34.6).

Final

Northern Illinois

70—72

Western Michigan

Western Michigan by 2 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATWestern Michigan

24-54FG23-60

44.0%FG%38.0%

7-253PT7-23

28.0%3PT%30.0%

15-16FT19-27

94.0%FT%70.0%

27Rebounds42

6Offensive Rebounds19

12Assists17

12Turnovers14

6Steals7

8Blocks2

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
James Dent Jr.	G	33	7-13	2-6	2-2	4	3	2	2	18
Quentin Jones	G	39	7-10	2-3	1-1	5	7	2	2	17
Ethan Butler	F	27	4-5	0-0	5-5	2	0	0	3	13
Quaran McPherson	G	30	3-10	1-3	4-4	9	0	0	0	11
Tsvet Sotirov	F	33	2-7	2-7	0-0	0	0	0	1	6
Nas Muhammad	G	14	1-6	0-3	2-2	3	0	1	0	4
Kailon Nicholls	G	18	0-3	0-3	1-2	1	2	0	0	1
Jayden Mott	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chansey Willis Jr.	G	33	5-16	2-5	6-8	3	7	1	1	18
JaVaughn Hannah	G	23	6-12	3-6	2-2	6	5	0	0	17
Donovan Williams	Guard	32	4-8	2-3	5-7	5	1	0	0	15
Markhi Strickland	G	33	3-6	0-1	4-7	6	0	4	0	10
Max Burton	F	25	4-6	0-0	2-3	9	1	0	1	10
Owen Lobsinger	Forward	21	1-6	0-3	0-0	5	1	1	0	2
Brandon Muntu	G	17	0-5	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
EJ Ryans	G	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

103.4Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency103.4

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

50.9%Effective FG%44.2%

56.8%True Shooting %49.4%

17.8%Turnover Rate20.6%

29.6%Free Throw Rate45.0%

46.3%3-Point Rate38.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Western Michigan won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.