Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%Ball State

69.2%Central Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Michigan -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Michigan -225

Central Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 70

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 75

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricCentral Michigan

41.3MMH Power Index44

101.7Offensive Efficiency105.9

104.7Defensive Efficiency111.0

-3.0Net Efficiency-5.1

-3.9Strength of Schedule-0.5

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

66.4Tempo69.3

48.3%Effective FG%52.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate18.3%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

33.0%Free Throw Rate32.9%

-2.0Average Margin-3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.9–101.7), strength of schedule (-0.5–-3.9), recent form (1.3–-0.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–111.0), net efficiency (-3.0–-5.1), ball security (16.0–18.3).

Final

Ball State

82—80

Central Michigan

Ball State by 2 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATCentral Michigan

27-50FG32-69

54.0%FG%46.0%

9-203PT7-19

45.0%3PT%37.0%

19-25FT9-13

76.0%FT%69.0%

32Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists12

19Turnovers11

5Steals12

6Blocks4

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	37	5-7	3-3	3-4	5	3	2	2	16
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	31	4-8	1-2	6-8	2	0	0	0	15
Payton Sparks	Center	31	5-7	0-0	4-5	8	4	1	3	14
Fatt Hill	G	22	5-9	0-2	4-6	2	5	1	0	14
Ethan Brittain-Watts	Guard	32	5-10	3-7	0-0	5	0	1	0	13
Juanse Gorosito	G	30	3-7	2-5	2-2	3	2	0	0	10
Ben Hendriks	Center	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joey Hart	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Zane Doughty	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
TJ Burch	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quentin Heady	F	28	8-12	0-0	1-2	4	1	3	0	17
Anthony Pritchard	Guard	38	7-19	0-1	1-2	4	6	3	0	15
Bryan Ndjonga	F	20	6-9	1-2	2-3	7	0	0	1	15
Damarion Bonds	G	20	5-9	4-8	0-0	5	1	1	1	14
Jakobi Heady	G	36	2-11	0-2	5-6	8	0	1	1	9
Cayden Vasko	G	31	2-5	1-4	0-0	1	2	2	1	5
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	23	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Shaedon Simpson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

112.9Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency112.9

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

63.0%Effective FG%51.4%

66.3%True Shooting %53.2%

26.1%Turnover Rate15.2%

50.0%Free Throw Rate18.8%

40.0%3-Point Rate27.5%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Ball State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.