Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.6%Missouri State

83.4%Northern Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL139.3

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -502

Northern Iowa

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 64

Projected Total139.3

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 75

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricNorthern Iowa

51.1MMH Power Index61

110.5Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency96.4

2.1Net Efficiency12.0

0.5Strength of Schedule2.2

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency13.9

67.9Tempo64.1

51.8%Effective FG%54.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.4%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

42.9%Free Throw Rate26.2%

1.4Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–51.1), defensive efficiency (96.4–108.4), net efficiency (12.0–2.1), strength of schedule (2.2–0.5).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.5–108.4), offensive rebounding (33.0–21.9), free throw rate (42.9–26.2).

Final

Missouri State

68—79

Northern Iowa

Northern Iowa by 11 • 61.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATNorthern Iowa

25-47FG25-52

53.0%FG%48.0%

11-223PT7-16

50.0%3PT%44.0%

7-10FT22-29

70.0%FT%76.0%

27Rebounds27

4Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists17

13Turnovers5

5Steals9

1Blocks6

18Fouls11

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zaxton King	G	38	6-9	5-7	0-0	4	1	3	0	17
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	30	5-11	0-0	1-2	8	2	1	0	11
Dez White	G	31	3-9	2-6	2-2	2	1	0	1	10
Chase Martin	Guard	16	3-4	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Logan Epes	G	12	2-4	2-4	1-2	1	1	0	0	7
Vincent Brady II	G	23	1-3	1-3	2-2	2	2	0	0	5
Jalen Hampton	G	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Wesley Oba	Forward	8	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	24	1-1	0-0	1-2	5	4	0	0	3

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tytan Anderson	Guard	33	5-9	0-0	11-14	10	2	2	0	21
Jacob Hutson	Center	26	5-11	1-3	5-6	2	1	2	3	16
Will Hornseth	F	14	5-7	0-0	2-5	4	2	0	1	12
Cael Schmitt	Guard	18	3-3	2-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	10
Leon Bond III	F	31	3-6	0-1	2-2	1	5	1	2	8
Max Weisbrod	G	26	2-5	2-4	0-0	0	2	2	0	6
Ben Schwieger	F	18	2-5	2-2	0-0	5	0	1	0	6
Trey Campbell	G	27	0-6	0-4	0-0	2	4	1	0	0
Kyle Pock	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.3Possessions61.3

110.9Offensive Efficiency128.9

128.9Defensive Efficiency110.9

-17.9Net Efficiency17.9

64.9%Effective FG%54.8%

65.7%True Shooting %60.1%

21.4%Turnover Rate8.1%

21.3%Free Throw Rate55.8%

46.8%3-Point Rate30.8%

0.85Assist / Turnover3.40

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 61.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.