Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.6%Indiana State

83.4%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -502

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 67

Projected Total146.6

Projected ScoreIllinois State 79

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricIllinois State

44.4MMH Power Index54.3

104.7Offensive Efficiency110.6

106.0Defensive Efficiency101.4

-1.3Net Efficiency9.2

0.1Strength of Schedule1.0

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

70.3Tempo67.5

53.6%Effective FG%54.3%

19.5%Turnover Rate16.8%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

28.8%Free Throw Rate32.0%

-0.9Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–44.4), offensive efficiency (110.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (101.4–106.0), net efficiency (9.2–-1.3).

Final

Indiana State

81—85

Illinois State

Illinois State by 4 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATIllinois State

29-61FG30-58

48.0%FG%52.0%

13-353PT11-25

37.0%3PT%44.0%

10-15FT14-18

67.0%FT%78.0%

36Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds4

15Assists15

16Turnovers11

10Steals7

—Blocks3

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Aaron Gray	Forward	29	7-10	2-4	3-5	8	0	1	19
Camp Wagner	G	24	6-10	5-9	0-0	2	2	2	17
Bruno Alocen	G	23	3-5	3-4	1-1	3	1	0	10
Jaden Daughtry	F	14	3-6	2-2	2-2	4	2	0	10
Josiah LeGree	G	29	4-8	0-3	0-1	3	2	3	8
Samage Teel	Guard	37	3-10	1-6	0-0	1	6	0	7
Markus Harding	C	25	1-6	0-3	3-5	8	1	2	5
K'mani Doughty	Guard	11	1-3	0-2	1-1	1	1	1	3
Jayan Walker	G	8	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	2

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dalton Banks	Guard	33	6-7	2-2	7-8	3	4	1	0	21
Johnny Kinziger	G	31	6-13	3-6	5-6	4	6	1	0	20
Chase Walker	F	28	8-16	0-1	1-2	5	1	2	0	17
Caden Boser	Forward	11	3-4	1-2	0-1	1	1	0	1	7
Jordan Davis	Guard	36	2-6	2-6	0-0	12	2	0	1	6
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	25	2-6	2-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Ty Pence	G	17	2-3	1-1	1-1	0	0	3	0	6
Landon Wolf	G	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Jack Daugherty	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

108.9Offensive Efficiency114.2

114.2Defensive Efficiency108.9

-5.4Net Efficiency5.4

58.2%Effective FG%61.2%

59.4%True Shooting %63.9%

21.3%Turnover Rate15.0%

24.6%Free Throw Rate31.0%

57.4%3-Point Rate43.1%

0.94Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.