North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.4%North Carolina

41.6%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -140

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 79

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreWake Forest 77

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricWake Forest

65.2MMH Power Index57.6

115.5Offensive Efficiency112.4

103.8Defensive Efficiency109.7

11.7Net Efficiency2.7

7.6Strength of Schedule7.2

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.0Tempo70.2

54.6%Effective FG%52.8%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

38.1%Free Throw Rate36.1%

8.1Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–57.6), offensive efficiency (115.5–112.4), defensive efficiency (103.8–109.7), net efficiency (11.7–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-0.1–-1.8).

Final

North Carolina

66—67

Wake Forest

Wake Forest by 1 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATWake Forest

26-65FG22-55

40.0%FG%40.0%

8-323PT2-15

25.0%3PT%13.0%

6-10FT21-27

60.0%FT%78.0%

33Rebounds41

8Offensive Rebounds10

18Assists7

12Turnovers14

8Steals4

3Blocks7

23Fouls17

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Davis	Guard	38	8-16	3-9	2-2	0	1	2	0	21
Elliot Cadeau	G	39	5-10	2-4	2-3	5	13	2	0	14
Ian Jackson	G	35	3-11	1-7	0-0	3	2	0	0	7
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	20	3-4	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	1	6
Jalen Washington	C	11	2-5	1-2	1-2	3	0	1	2	6
Seth Trimble	G	18	2-8	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Drake Powell	Guard	17	2-8	0-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Cade Tyson	G	3	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
James Brown	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Ty Claude	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	0

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	40	5-16	0-3	10-12	6	2	2	0	20
Hunter Sallis	Guard	39	7-19	0-6	0-2	9	0	0	1	14
Tre'Von Spillers	F	39	5-7	1-2	1-1	9	1	0	4	12
Efton Reid III	Forward	24	3-5	0-1	6-6	6	2	1	2	12
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	30	2-5	1-2	2-4	4	2	1	0	7
Juke Harris	G	18	0-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Parker Friedrichsen	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Churchill Abass	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Davin Cosby Jr.	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

90.7Offensive Efficiency92.0

92.0Defensive Efficiency90.7

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

46.2%Effective FG%41.8%

47.3%True Shooting %49.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate19.5%

15.4%Free Throw Rate49.1%

49.2%3-Point Rate27.3%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Wake Forest won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.