Indiana

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.1%Indiana

54.9%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -122

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana 74

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 75

Team Comparison

IndianaMetricNorthwestern

58.2MMH Power Index55.4

116.0Offensive Efficiency111.6

107.1Defensive Efficiency109.8

8.9Net Efficiency1.8

5.2Strength of Schedule5.6

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

67.4Tempo65.6

56.0%Effective FG%51.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.0%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

35.8%Free Throw Rate34.8%

6.0Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.2–55.4), offensive efficiency (116.0–111.6), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.8), net efficiency (8.9–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–5.2), recent form (-2.7–-7.7), ball security (13.0–15.1).

Final

Indiana

70—79

Northwestern

Northwestern by 9 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IndianaTEAM STATNorthwestern

24-57FG28-58

42.0%FG%48.0%

9-203PT13-27

45.0%3PT%48.0%

13-17FT10-17

76.0%FT%59.0%

34Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists18

17Turnovers11

7Steals11

3Blocks6

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mackenzie Mgbako	F	26	8-14	3-7	1-1	5	0	2	0	20
Oumar Ballo	Center	36	5-10	0-0	5-8	7	7	1	1	15
Luke Goode	Forward	33	5-8	4-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	14
Myles Rice	G	27	4-9	1-3	2-2	4	0	2	0	11
Trey Galloway	Guard	25	2-8	1-3	2-2	0	5	0	1	7
Malik Reneau	F	11	0-6	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Anthony Leal	Guard	28	0-1	0-1	1-2	5	3	2	1	1
Kanaan Carlyle	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ty Berry	Guard	32	8-13	7-10	0-0	7	1	1	2	23
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	38	8-14	1-4	4-9	8	6	6	0	21
Nick Martinelli	F	36	7-11	2-3	2-2	6	1	0	1	18
Jalen Leach	Not Available	39	5-12	3-7	2-2	0	7	0	0	15
Angelo Ciaravino	G	7	0-2	0-2	2-4	1	0	0	0	2
Matthew Nicholson	Center	30	0-1	0-0	0-0	6	2	3	2	0
Keenan Fitzmorris	Center	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Luke Hunger	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Justin Mullins	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
K.J. Windham	G	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	1	0
Blake Smith	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

104.3Offensive Efficiency117.7

117.7Defensive Efficiency104.3

-13.4Net Efficiency13.4

50.0%Effective FG%59.5%

53.8%True Shooting %59.8%

24.6%Turnover Rate16.9%

29.8%Free Throw Rate29.3%

35.1%3-Point Rate46.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.