Mercer

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.8%Mercer

42.2%UNC Greensboro

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercer -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMercer -137

UNC Greensboro

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercer 83

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreUNC Greensboro 80

Team Comparison

MercerMetricUNC Greensboro

54.1MMH Power Index46.7

116.6Offensive Efficiency112.6

106.5Defensive Efficiency115.3

10.1Net Efficiency-2.7

-4.4Strength of Schedule-1.9

1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

70.9Tempo69.8

53.8%Effective FG%52.8%

14.7%Turnover Rate14.6%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

38.9%Free Throw Rate41.7%

7.2Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercer HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercer holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–46.7), offensive efficiency (116.6–112.6), defensive efficiency (106.5–115.3), net efficiency (10.1–-2.7).

UNC Greensboro COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.9–-4.4), recent form (2.2–1.2), ball security (14.6–14.7).

Final

Mercer

79—78

UNC Greensboro

Mercer by 1 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercerTEAM STATUNC Greensboro

29-68FG24-67

43.0%FG%36.0%

8-313PT12-35

26.0%3PT%34.0%

13-18FT18-21

72.0%FT%86.0%

39Rebounds46

13Offensive Rebounds17

12Assists10

10Turnovers13

11Steals3

1Blocks3

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ahmad Robinson	G	37	10-19	4-7	9-11	5	6	5	0	33
Tyler Johnson	Guard	36	7-15	3-9	0-0	7	2	1	0	17
Marcus Overstreet	F	11	5-6	0-0	3-3	5	0	1	1	13
Alex Holt	Forward	25	3-8	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	0	7
Angel Montas Jr.	G	15	2-7	1-5	0-2	4	0	0	0	5
Brady Shoulders	G	32	2-6	0-4	0-0	6	1	2	0	4
Cam Bryant	Forward	30	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Jah Quinones	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Laurynas Vaistaras	Forward	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
TJ Grant	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNC Greensboro

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ronald Polite III	Guard	29	6-14	3-6	5-6	8	5	1	1	20
Kenyon Giles	G	32	4-16	3-13	0-0	2	1	0	0	11
Demetrius Davis	Forward	27	4-13	1-5	2-2	10	2	0	0	11
Joryam Saizonou	Guard	23	4-9	1-3	2-3	6	1	0	0	11
Donovan Atwell	G	30	2-10	1-5	4-4	0	1	1	0	9
Miles Jones	Forward	13	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Jalen Breath	F	22	0-0	0-0	5-6	9	0	0	1	5
Muon Reath	Guard	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Domas Kauzonas	F	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Malik Henry	Forward	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

107.8Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency107.8

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

48.5%Effective FG%44.8%

51.6%True Shooting %50.7%

13.6%Turnover Rate17.8%

26.5%Free Throw Rate31.3%

45.6%3-Point Rate52.2%

1.20Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Mercer won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.