Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Valparaiso

53.0%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDrake -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDrake -113

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 73

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreDrake 75

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricDrake

49.9MMH Power Index46.4

106.6Offensive Efficiency109.5

105.8Defensive Efficiency109.1

0.8Net Efficiency0.4

0.3Strength of Schedule0.3

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

67.5Tempo68.6

48.7%Effective FG%52.2%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

40.0%Free Throw Rate34.4%

0.5Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–46.4), defensive efficiency (105.8–109.1), net efficiency (0.8–0.4), recent form (-0.1–-11.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.5–106.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.7), ball security (14.9–15.6).

Final

Valparaiso

71—81

Drake

Drake by 10 • 63.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATDrake

23-47FG26-47

49.0%FG%55.0%

4-113PT9-16

36.0%3PT%56.0%

21-25FT20-24

84.0%FT%83.0%

23Rebounds27

6Offensive Rebounds6

5Assists17

10Turnovers11

4Steals8

2Blocks3

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	34	4-10	1-3	7-7	2	1	0	1	16
All Wright	G	31	5-8	2-2	3-4	0	0	0	0	15
Cooper Schwieger	F	29	5-7	0-0	4-4	6	0	0	0	14
Justus McNair	G	25	3-8	0-2	4-4	1	1	1	0	10
Tyler Schmidt	G	21	3-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	3	0	7
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	21	1-3	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	1	4
Isaiah Shaw	G	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Devon Ellis	F	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Kaspar Sepp	F	15	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Louth-M Coulibaly	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	40	6-13	1-1	11-11	5	9	3	1	24
Mitch Mascari	Guard	40	7-12	5-9	2-2	4	0	0	0	21
Daniel Abreu	Forward	33	2-2	2-2	5-6	1	2	0	0	11
Tavion Banks	G	24	5-8	0-1	0-3	5	1	1	0	10
Isaia Howard	G	14	2-3	1-1	2-2	5	1	0	1	7
Isaiah Jackson	Guard	24	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	2	1	4
Kael Combs	G	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Cam Manyawu	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	2	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.2Possessions63.2

112.3Offensive Efficiency128.2

128.2Defensive Efficiency112.3

-15.8Net Efficiency15.8

53.2%Effective FG%64.9%

60.3%True Shooting %69.3%

15.9%Turnover Rate17.4%

53.2%Free Throw Rate51.1%

23.4%3-Point Rate34.0%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

Drake won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 63.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.