Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Boise State

51.3%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -105

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 75

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreColorado State 76

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricColorado State

59.5MMH Power Index55.4

113.9Offensive Efficiency117.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency109.9

6.8Net Efficiency7.2

4.2Strength of Schedule0.4

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

68.6Tempo64.7

52.7%Effective FG%58.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.3%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

42.7%Free Throw Rate41.2%

4.7Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–55.4), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.9), strength of schedule (4.2–0.4), recent form (5.2–4.3).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–113.9), net efficiency (7.2–6.8), shooting efficiency (58.6–52.7).

Final

Boise State

72—75

Colorado State

Colorado State by 3 • 62.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATColorado State

27-52FG26-56

52.0%FG%46.0%

6-183PT11-24

33.0%3PT%46.0%

12-15FT12-15

80.0%FT%80.0%

30Rebounds29

5Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists19

8Turnovers7

4Steals5

3Blocks4

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	39	10-17	1-4	6-7	5	0	0	0	27
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	38	7-13	2-6	2-2	5	7	2	0	18
Javan Buchanan	F	20	4-5	1-1	2-2	3	1	1	2	11
Andrew Meadow	F	32	4-5	1-2	0-2	2	0	0	0	9
Julian Bowie	G	16	1-6	1-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	5
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
RJ Keene II	G	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Pearson Carmichael	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dylan Anderson	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	39	7-18	2-6	4-5	7	7	1	1	20
Kyan Evans	G	32	3-6	3-5	4-5	1	6	2	0	13
Jalen Lake	Guard	28	5-10	2-6	1-1	2	0	0	0	13
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	30	3-5	2-3	1-1	6	4	0	2	9
Kyle Jorgensen	F	10	2-5	1-2	2-3	2	1	0	0	7
Nikola Djapa	C	15	3-5	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Keshawn Williams	G	16	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Ethan Morton	Guard	25	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	1	2
Bowen Born	Guard	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.6Possessions62.6

115.0Offensive Efficiency119.8

119.8Defensive Efficiency115.0

-4.8Net Efficiency4.8

57.7%Effective FG%56.3%

60.9%True Shooting %59.4%

12.9%Turnover Rate11.1%

28.8%Free Throw Rate26.8%

34.6%3-Point Rate42.9%

1.13Assist / Turnover2.71

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.